14 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord Eliteserien prediction & result

Aspmyra Stadion
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Bodo/Glimt 3-2 Sandefjord.

Before kick-off the model made it 50% Bodo/Glimt, 28% draw, 22% Sandefjord — fair odds of 2.00, 3.57 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Bodo/Glimt at 50% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Bodo/Glimt99%Draw1%Sandefjord0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

23'
Jakob Maslo Dunsby
⚽Jens Petter Haugeassist: Ole Didrik Blomberg
34'
37'
Ervin Gigovic
38'
Foster Apetorgbor
⚽Andreas Helmersen
54'
⚽Andreas Helmersenassist: Jens Petter Hauge
58'
🔁Fredrik Sjovoldout: Fredrik Bjorkan
62'
🔁Sondre Fetout: Ulrik Saltnes
62'
🔁Jens Petter Haugeout: Joel Mvuka
63'
63'
🔁Vetle Walle Egeliout: Gustav Højbjerg
63'
🔁Oscar Forsmo Kapskarmoout: Sebastian Holm Mathisen
63'
🔁Foster Apetorgborout: Mathias Sauer
69'
⚽Jakob Maslo Dunsbyassist: Mathias Sauer
🔁Villads Nielsenout: Haitam Aleesami
76'
🔁Andreas Helmersenout: Ola Brynhildsen
76'
82'
🔁Jakob Maslo Dunsbyout: Evangelos Patoulidis
88'
🔁Hakon Krogelienout: Martin Hellan
90+1'
⚽Evangelos Patoulidisassist: Ervin Gigovic

Match stats — Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord

65%Possession35%
28Shots10
10On target4
10Corners2

Line-ups

Bodo/Glimt 4-4-2
  • 1J. Faye LundG
  • 20F. SjøvoldD
  • 2V. NielsenD
  • 4O. BjørtuftD
  • 25I. MäättäD
  • 8S. AuklendM
  • 7P. BergM
  • 19S. FetM
  • 10J. HaugeM
  • 11O. Didrik BlombergF
  • 21A. HelmersenF
Substitutes
  • 32K. SolhaugM
  • 5H. AleesamiD
  • 43M. L. AndersenG
  • 15F. BjørkanD
  • 17O. BrynhildsenF
  • 16J. KitolanoM
  • 22J. MvukaM
  • 14U. SaltnesM
  • 28Assan SanyangM
Coach: K. Knutsen
Sandefjord 5-4-1
  • 30E. HadayaG
  • 4F. PedersenD
  • 13R. HoltenD
  • 6S. MørkD
  • 16H. KrogelienD
  • 3V. EgeliD
  • 17A. FosterM
  • 10E. GigovićM
  • 37J. VesterM
  • 27J. DunsbyM
  • 9O. KapskarmoF
Substitutes
  • 19Bendik BerntsenF
  • 1A. GrønnebergG
  • 2M. HellanD
  • 24S. MathisenF
  • 7E. PatoulidisM
  • 18M. SauerM
  • 21J. SwiftM
  • 5G. HøjbjergD
Coach: Andreas Tegström

Form going into Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord

Bodo/Glimt

All competitions we cover

  • L0-5away to Bayern München10 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Fredrikstad4 September 2026
  • W4-2Rosenborg30 August 2026
  • W3-0NEC Nijmegen25 August 2026
  • W3-1away to NEC Nijmegen19 August 2026

Sandefjord

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Viking4 September 2026
  • D0-0Brann30 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Sarpsborg 08 FF16 August 2026
  • L0-1KFUM Oslo7 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Fredrikstad1 August 2026

What these results say

  • Every one of these 5 matches for Bodo/Glimt had three goals or more.
  • Bodo/Glimt won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Bodo/Glimt scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Sandefjord failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Sandefjord conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Sandefjord had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Bodo/Glimt2418245821+3756
13Sandefjord2466122231-924

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord

  • 26 July 2026Sandefjord 0–3 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • 31 August 2025Sandefjord 1–2 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • 12 July 2025Bodo/Glimt 2–0 SandefjordEliteserien
  • 13 July 2024Sandefjord 2–1 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
  • 29 May 2024Bodo/Glimt 1–1 SandefjordEliteserien

Leading scorers: Bodo/Glimt and Sandefjord

Bodo/Glimt

GoalsAssists

  • A. Helmersen121
  • K. Høgh74

Sandefjord

No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 22 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Bodo/Glimt beat Sandefjord 3–2. The model had made a win for Bodo/Glimt its most likely outcome, at 50%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Jens Petter Hauge 34' for Bodo/Glimt, Andreas Helmersen 54' for Bodo/Glimt, Andreas Helmersen 58' for Bodo/Glimt, Jakob Maslo Dunsby 69' for Sandefjord, Evangelos Patoulidis 90+1' for Sandefjord.

How the call on Bodo/Glimt v Sandefjord has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 54% / 26% / 20% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 50% / 28% / 22%: the biggest move is Bodo/Glimt's chance of winning, down 4 points.

  1. Bodo/Glimt win50%▼ −4
  2. Draw28%▲ +2
  3. Sandefjord win22%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.