Bodo/Glimt
vs
Sandefjord
Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Bodo/Glimt 3-2 Sandefjord.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Bodo/Glimt, 28% draw, 24% Sandefjord — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Bodo/Glimt 1.89, Sandefjord 1.00.
Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, under 2.5: 45%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
Model insights: Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bodo/Glimt at 48% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord
Line-ups
- 1J. Faye LundG
- 20F. SjøvoldD
- 2V. NielsenD
- 4O. BjørtuftD
- 25I. MäättäD
- 8S. AuklendM
- 7P. BergM
- 19S. FetM
- 10J. HaugeM
- 11O. Didrik BlombergF
- 21A. HelmersenF
- 32K. SolhaugM
- 5H. AleesamiD
- 43M. L. AndersenG
- 15F. BjørkanD
- 17O. BrynhildsenF
- 16J. KitolanoM
- 22J. MvukaM
- 14U. SaltnesM
- 28Assan SanyangM
- 30E. HadayaG
- 4F. PedersenD
- 13R. HoltenD
- 6S. MørkD
- 16H. KrogelienD
- 3V. EgeliD
- 17A. FosterM
- 10E. GigovićM
- 37J. VesterM
- 27J. DunsbyM
- 9O. KapskarmoF
- 19Bendik BerntsenF
- 1A. GrønnebergG
- 2M. HellanD
- 24S. MathisenF
- 7E. PatoulidisM
- 18M. SauerM
- 21J. SwiftM
- 5G. HøjbjergD
Form going into Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord
Bodo/Glimt
- W2-1away to Fredrikstad4 September 2026
- W4-2Rosenborg30 August 2026
- W2-1away to Valerenga8 August 2026
- W4-0Lillestrom31 July 2026
Sandefjord
- D1-1Viking4 September 2026
- D0-0Brann30 August 2026
- W2-1away to Sarpsborg 08 FF16 August 2026
- L0-1KFUM Oslo7 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 52 | 17 | +35 | 50 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord
- 26 July 2026Sandefjord 0–3 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 31 August 2025Sandefjord 1–2 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 12 July 2025Bodo/Glimt 2–0 SandefjordEliteserien
- 13 July 2024Sandefjord 2–1 Bodo/GlimtEliteserien
- 29 May 2024Bodo/Glimt 1–1 SandefjordEliteserien
- 21 October 2023Bodo/Glimt 4–3 SandefjordEliteserien
Leading scorers: Bodo/Glimt and Sandefjord
Bodo/Glimt
- A. Helmersen8 goals1 assists
- K. Høgh7 goals4 assists
Sandefjord
No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 18 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Expected against actual
Pre-match the model expected 1.89 goals for Bodo/Glimt and 1.00 for Sandefjord; the game produced 3 and 2.
A gap that size between expected and actual goals is normal in a single match — it is the reason we publish probabilities rather than predictions, and why the record below is measured over hundreds of games rather than one.
Goals
Scorers, in order: Jens Petter Hauge 34' (Bodo/Glimt), Andreas Helmersen 54' (Bodo/Glimt), Andreas Helmersen 58' (Bodo/Glimt), Jakob Maslo Dunsby 69' (Sandefjord), Evangelos Patoulidis 90' (Sandefjord).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Bodo/Glimt the highest probability at 48%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.89 expected goals for Bodo/Glimt against 1 for Sandefjord. Bodo/Glimt's attack/defence rating is 0.83/1.24 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.67/1.4 for Sandefjord.