19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC

Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg Eliteserien prediction & result

Kristiansund Stadion, Kristiansund
Full time1 – 3

Final score: Kristiansund BK 1-3 Rosenborg.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Kristiansund BK, 29% draw, 35% Rosenborg — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Kristiansund BK at 36% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kristiansund BK0%Draw1%Rosenborg99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽David Tufekcicassist: Jesper Isaksen
31'
33'
⚽Mads Bomholt
Dan Peter Ulvestad
39'
🔁David Tufekcicout: Tobias Hammer Svendsen
45'
50'
⚽Noah Sahsah
59'
🔁Simen Bolkan Nordliout: Mathias Ullereng Kjolo
59'
🔁Aslak Fonn Witryout: Jonas Svensson
🔁Dan Peter Ulvestadout: Max Normann Williamsen
69'
🔁Heine Gikling Brusethout: Syver Skeide
69'
77'
🔁Noah Sahsahout: Jonas Sogaard Mortensen
🔁Gustav Ørsøe Christensenout: Adrian Kurd Rønning
78'
🔁Wilfred George Igorout: Anders Ronne Borset
78'
83'
⚽Amin Chiakhaassist: Adrian Nilsen Pereira
90+4'
🔁Emil Konradsen Ceideout: David Duris

Match stats — Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg

44%Possession56%
15Shots16
7On target8
4Corners6

Line-ups

Kristiansund BK 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. LansingG
  • 59M. ElviusD
  • 4J. JúlíussonD
  • 5D. UlvestadD
  • 6J. IsaksenD
  • 10H. BrusethM
  • 20W. IgorM
  • 16D. TufekcicM
  • 7S. SvendsenM
  • 24G. ChristensenM
  • 19L. AlvheimF
Substitutes
  • 2A. BørsetD
  • 22H. HaugenD
  • 8E. IsufiM
  • 27A. RønningF
  • 12A. SætherG
  • 14S. SkeideM
  • 23T. SvendsenM
  • 17M. WilliamsenD
  • 38Aksel Nordvik BrattøyM
Coach: A. Skiri
Rosenborg 4-4-2
  • 1L. WahlstedtG
  • 16A. WitryD
  • 4M. CeïdeD
  • 21T. NemčíkD
  • 19A. PereiraD
  • 11N. SahsahM
  • 17M. BomholtM
  • 10O. SelnæsM
  • 7S. NordliM
  • 18Amin ChiakhaF
  • 35E. CeïdeF
Substitutes
  • 5H. VoldenD
  • 30M. SoboczynskiF
  • 12R. SandbergG
  • 22J. SvenssonD
  • 15J. MortensenD
  • 23M. MampassiD
  • 6M. KjøløM
  • 29D. ĎurišF
  • 3T. SolheimD
Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Form going into Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg

Kristiansund BK

Eliteserien

  • L1-8away to Viking13 September 2026

Rosenborg

Eliteserien

  • W5-3Tromso12 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Kristiansund BK2455142549-2420
4Rosenborg2412484631+1540

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Kristiansund BK vs Rosenborg

  • 12 July 2026Rosenborg 3–0 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
  • 22 June 2025Kristiansund BK 4–1 RosenborgEliteserien
  • 1 May 2025Rosenborg 1–1 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
  • 1 December 2024Kristiansund BK 0–4 RosenborgEliteserien
  • 26 May 2024Rosenborg 2–1 Kristiansund BKEliteserien

Leading scorers: Kristiansund BK and Rosenborg

Kristiansund BK

GoalsAssists

  • L. Alvheim120

Rosenborg

GoalsAssists

  • Amin Chiakha154
  • E. Ceïde66

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Rosenborg won 3–1 at Kristiansund BK. The model had leaned towards a win for Kristiansund BK at 36% and given a win for Rosenborg 35%. The goals: David Tufekcic 31' for Kristiansund BK, Mads Bomholt 33' for Rosenborg, Noah Sahsah 50' for Rosenborg, Amin Chiakha 83' for Rosenborg.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.