14 September 2026, 01:00 UTC

Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez Liga MX prediction & result

Estadio Corona
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Santos Laguna 2-1 FC Juarez.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Santos Laguna, 29% draw, 23% FC Juarez — fair odds of 2.08, 3.45 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Santos Laguna at 48% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Santos Laguna98%Draw2%FC Juarez0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Efrain Orona
19'
19'
Oscar Estupiñan
Diego González
27'
27'
Monchu
•Mauricio Cuevas
31'
🔁Efrain Oronaout: Emmanuel Echeverria
33'
Emmanuel Echeverria
52'
54'
⚽Oscar Estupiñan (pen)
🔁Eduardo Aguirreout: Esteban Lozano
56'
58'
🔁Ían Torresout: Luca Dupuy
58'
🔁Rodrigo Douradoout: Juan Alexander Sigala García
⚽Ezequiel Bullaudeassist: Mauricio Cuevas
64'
68'
🔁Oscar Estupiñanout: Madson de Souza Silva
68'
🔁Francisco Nevarezout: Javier Aquino
Mauricio Cuevas
73'
⚽Esteban Lozanoassist: Ezequiel Bullaude
78'
79'
🔁Monchuout: Ricardo Oliveira
🔁Diego Gonzálezout: Ramiro Sordo
82'
🔁Kevin Palaciosout: L. Gómez
82'
🔁Francisco Villalbaout: Javier Guemez
82'
88'
Jesus Murillo
⚽Franco Pardo (pen)
90'
90+1'
Denzell Garcia

Match stats — Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez

54%Possession46%
25Shots12
10On target5
12Corners6

Line-ups

Santos Laguna 3-4-3
  • 1C. AcevedoG
  • 18F. PardoD
  • 25F. SanchezD
  • 14E. OronaD
  • 3M. CuevasM
  • 23F. CaseresM
  • 21F. VillalbaM
  • 7D. GonzalezM
  • 77K. PalaciosF
  • 10E. BullaudeF
  • 19E. AguirreF
Substitutes
  • 33H. HolguinG
  • 4J. AbellaD
  • 17E. EcheverriaD
  • 28J. PerezD
  • 8S. Mariscal MurraM
  • 6J. GuemezM
  • 193L. GomezM
  • 20E. LozanoM
  • 26R. SordoM
Coach: Paiva Renato
FC Juarez 4-2-3-1
  • 1S. JuradoG
  • 33F. J. Nevarez PulgarinD
  • 3J. MurilloD
  • 2G. SepulvedaD
  • 4A. MayorgaD
  • 13Rodrigo DouradoM
  • 6MonchuM
  • 5D. GarciaM
  • 10J. M. Torres Ramirez I.M
  • 11J. RodriguezM
  • 19O. EstupinanF
Substitutes
  • 27G. RuizG
  • 23H. OrtegaD
  • 14E. LopezM
  • 7R. FulgencioM
  • 16J. SigalaM
  • 20J. AquinoM
  • 8Guilherme CastilhoM
  • 21RicardinhoM
  • 17L. DupuyF
Coach: Gustavo Lema

Form going into Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez

Santos Laguna

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Cruz Azul6 September 2026
  • D0-0Tigres UANL30 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Puebla23 August 2026
  • L0-1Guadalajara Chivas17 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Club America2 August 2026

FC Juarez

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2CF Pachuca5 September 2026
  • L0-4away to Toluca31 August 2026
  • L1-2Club America22 August 2026
  • L1-6away to Monterrey16 August 2026
  • L1-5Pumas UNAM1 August 2026

What these results say

  • Santos Laguna did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Santos Laguna failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Santos Laguna conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • FC Juarez did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • FC Juarez conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for FC Juarez had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Santos Laguna146172020019
18FC Juarez141211933-245

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez

  • 18 January 2026Santos Laguna 2–2 FC JuarezLiga MX
  • 23 August 2025FC Juarez 2–1 Santos LagunaLiga MX
  • 30 January 2025FC Juarez 1–0 Santos LagunaLiga MX
  • 7 October 2024Santos Laguna 0–2 FC JuarezLiga MX
  • 1 April 2024FC Juarez 2–1 Santos LagunaLiga MX

The full Santos Laguna vs FC Juarez record →

Leading scorers: Santos Laguna and FC Juarez

Santos Laguna

GoalsAssists

  • Tahiel Adrián Jiménez Sánchez50

FC Juarez

GoalsAssists

  • Ó. Estupiñán60

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Santos Laguna beat FC Juarez 2–1. The model had made a win for Santos Laguna its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Oscar Estupiñan (penalty) 54' for FC Juarez, Ezequiel Bullaude 64' for Santos Laguna, Esteban Lozano 78' for Santos Laguna.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.