Monterrey vs Tigres UANL Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Monterrey 0-0 Tigres UANL.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Monterrey, 27% draw, 41% Tigres UANL — fair odds of 3.13, 3.70 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Tigres UANL at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Monterrey vs Tigres UANL
Line-ups
- 1E. AndradaG
- 2R. ChavezD
- 4V. GuzmanD
- 13C. SalcedoD
- 3G. ArteagaD
- 8O. TorresM
- 25O. PinedaM
- 7L. OcamposM
- 9D. RossiM
- 17J. CoronaM
- 99H. CuypersF
- 22L. CardenasG
- 33S. MedinaD
- 21L. ReyesD
- 14E. AguirreM
- 30J. RodriguezM
- 11I. FimbresM
- 5F. AmbrizM
- 32U. DjurdjevicF
- 27R. de la RosaF
- 1N. GuzmanG
- 14J. Garza
- 28JoaquimD
- 15A. FrancoD
- 19M. LainezD
- 8F. GorriaranM
- 23RomuloM
- 16D. LainezM
- 11J. BrunettaM
- 21R. MonrealM
- 17R. AguirreF
- 25F. RodriguezG
- 33R. GuerreroD
- 26F. I. Ordonez DelgadoD
- 5C. AraujoM
- 30D. A. Sanchez GuevaraF
- 6J. VigonM
- 34SimeoneM
- 22G. MartinezF
- 9E. GomezF
Form going into Monterrey vs Tigres UANL
Monterrey
All competitions we cover
- L1-3Atletico San Luis31 August 2026
- L0-2away to Leon22 August 2026
- W6-1FC Juarez16 August 2026
- W2-0away to Atlas2 August 2026
- L1-2away to Necaxa26 July 2026
Tigres UANL
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Necaxa6 September 2026
- D0-0away to Santos Laguna30 August 2026
- W2-0Atlante FC22 August 2026
- L1-2away to Atlas16 August 2026
- L2-3away to Club Queretaro1 August 2026
What these results say
- Monterrey scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Monterrey conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Tigres UANL failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Tigres UANL scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Monterrey | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 18 | +5 | 20 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Monterrey vs Tigres UANL
- 8 March 2026Tigres UANL 1–0 MonterreyLiga MX
- 2 November 2025Monterrey 1–1 Tigres UANLLiga MX
- 13 April 2025Tigres UANL 2–1 MonterreyLiga MX
- 20 October 2024Monterrey 4–2 Tigres UANLLiga MX
- 13 May 2024Monterrey 1–1 Tigres UANLLiga MX
Leading scorers: Monterrey and Tigres UANL
Monterrey
GoalsAssists
- L. Ocampos63
- D. Rossi53
Tigres UANL
GoalsAssists
- J. Brunetta84
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Monterrey and Tigres UANL drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Tigres UANL at 41% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. Sent off: Diego Lainez (Tigres UANL) -5', Gerardo Arteaga (Monterrey) 90+7'.
How the call on Monterrey v Tigres UANL has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 35% / 28% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 32% / 27% / 41%: the biggest move is Tigres UANL's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Monterrey win32%▼ −3
- Draw27%▼ −1
- Tigres UANL win41%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.