Meshakhte vs Rustavi Erovnuli Liga prediction & result
Final score: Meshakhte 0-1 Rustavi.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Meshakhte, 34% draw, 32% Rustavi — fair odds of 2.94, 2.94 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Erovnuli Liga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Meshakhte at 34% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Meshakhte vs Rustavi
Line-ups
- 29L. ShovnadzeG
- 26B. GabiskiriaD
- 31Eric PimentelD
- 38I. ZotkoD
- 40L. UgrekhelidzeD
- 16G. GegiaD
- 7E. JijavadzeM
- 27G. KantariaM
- 22T. ŠikaloM
- 13G. BurduliD
- 9I. SikharulidzeF
- 24S. Chkhetiani
- 10G. GogolashviliF
- 8G. JamarauliM
- 20L. KurdadzeD
- 11M. KvirkviaF
- 18T. PatsatsiaM
- 30M. PyrogovM
- 23B. ShubitidzeM
- 1L. TkeshelashviliG
- 21P. BeruashviliG
- 27M. KapanadzeD
- 4DavidD
- 24I. IakobidzeD
- 2S. AndghuladzeD
- 22Y. NakanoM
- 13A. GujabidzeM
- 7K. S. AbdulM
- 9JeanF
- 10P. OseiF
- 20L. ParkadzeM
- 5Kevin William CeijasF
- 19N. ChikovaniD
- 23M. GambošM
- 18N. JaparidzeF
- 16Guri KakabadzeF
- 8K. KakashviliM
- 1S. KardavaG
- 3V. PatsatsiaD
- 40D. UbilavaD
Form going into Meshakhte vs Rustavi
Meshakhte
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Dinamo Tbilisi10 September 2026
- D2-2Spaeri5 September 2026
- W2-0away to Torpedo Kutaisi31 August 2026
Rustavi
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Spaeri9 September 2026
- L0-1Dinamo Batumi4 September 2026
- D1-1away to Samgurali30 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Meshakhte | 30 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 20 |
| 4 | Rustavi | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 36 | 26 | +10 | 52 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Meshakhte vs Rustavi
- 13 June 2026Rustavi 1–0 MeshakhteErovnuli Liga
- 22 April 2026Meshakhte 0–0 RustaviErovnuli Liga
- 6 December 2025Rustavi 1–2 MeshakhteErovnuli Liga 2
- 5 October 2025Meshakhte 1–3 RustaviErovnuli Liga 2
- 11 August 2025Rustavi 1–0 MeshakhteErovnuli Liga 2
The result against the call
Rustavi won 1–0 at Meshakhte. The goal: Luka·Parkadze 45' for Rustavi.
How the call on Meshakhte v Rustavi has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 34% / 32% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 34% / 34% / 32%: the biggest move is Rustavi's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Meshakhte win34%=
- Draw34%▲ +2
- Rustavi win32%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.