Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oțelul Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Petrolul Ploiesti 1-0 Oțelul.
Before kick-off the model made it 19% Petrolul Ploiesti, 18% draw, 63% Oțelul — fair odds of 5.26, 5.56 and 1.59.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Oțelul at 63%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oțelul
Line-ups
- 38Lukáš ZimaG
- 22Mark ȚuțuD
- 4Paul PappD
- 71Breston MalulaD
- 2Andres DumitrescuD
- 20Sergiu HancaM
- 19Léo TeixeiraM
- 10Alejandro BranM
- 99Dele IsraelM
- 7Rodrigo MartinsM
- 9Dan N'LunduluF
- 18Calal HuseinovD
- 26Liviu ArgeșanuD
- 24Adam ZaianD
- 30Rareș LeescuD
- 66Tiberiu CăpuşăD
- 1Ștefan RădulescuG
- 29Kilian LudewigD
- 11Ioan ToleaM
- 21David ParaschivM
- 1Cosmin Dur-BozoancăG
- 5Habib SyllaD
- 3Giannis ChristopoulosD
- 6Paul IacobD
- 2Milen ZhelevD
- 17Andrei CiobanuM
- 8João LameiraM
- 27Pedro NunoM
- 24Denis BordunF
- 9Patrick FernandesF
- 10AndrézinhoF
- 7João PaulinoF
- 15Cristian NeicuF
- 39Teodor LunguM
- 77Alexandru BălănicăF
- 13Mario ContraG
- 22Gabriel UrsuG
- 16Dan NeicuD
- 20Robert OlteanuM
- 30Matei FrunzăM
Form going into Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oțelul
Petrolul Ploiesti
All competitions we cover
- L0-4away to Universitatea Craiova1 August 2026
- L0-1away to Arges Pitesti24 July 2026
- W1-0Dinamo Bucuresti19 July 2026
Oțelul
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Dinamo Bucuresti31 July 2026
- D2-2away to Uta Arad24 July 2026
- W2-1CFR 1907 Cluj18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 27 |
| 14 | Oțelul | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Petrolul Ploiesti vs Oțelul
- 18 May 2026Petrolul Ploiesti 1–5 OțelulLiga I
- 8 November 2025Petrolul Ploiesti 0–0 OțelulLiga I
- 13 July 2025Oțelul 0–0 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
- 12 May 2025Petrolul Ploiesti 1–3 OțelulLiga I
- 18 January 2025Oțelul 0–0 Petrolul PloiestiLiga I
Leading scorers: Petrolul Ploiesti and Oțelul
Petrolul Ploiesti
GoalsAssists
- A. Bran43
- Rodrigo Martins42
Oțelul
GoalsAssists
- Patrick40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Petrolul Ploiesti beat Oțelul 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Oțelul at 63% and given a win for Petrolul Ploiesti 19%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goal: Dan N'Lundulu (penalty) 34' for Petrolul Ploiesti. Sent off: Cristian Neicu (Oțelul) 77'.