MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy NB I prediction & result
Final score: MTK Budapest 2-3 Puskas Academy.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% MTK Budapest, 33% draw, 26% Puskas Academy — fair odds of 2.44, 3.03 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
MTK Budapest at 41%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy
Line-ups
- 1Patrik DemjénG
- 2Benedek VarjuD
- 4Ilia BeriashviliD
- 55Stipe RadićD
- 27Patrik KovácsD
- 6Mihály KataM
- 80Adrian ZeljkovićM
- 11Gábor JurekM
- 16Krisztián LászlóM
- 20Zalán KerezsiM
- 9Milán KlauszF
- 18Csaba BelényesiD
- 10István BognárM
- 77György KomáromiM
- 26Vilius ArmalasD
- 24Tamás FadgyasG
- 5Dániel HorváthD
- 13Timóteus János MikolayD
- 14Artúr HorváthM
- 23Jakub PlšekM
- 72Bendegúz LehoczkiG
- 96Roland OrjánD
- 14Wojciech GollaD
- 21Georgiy HarutyunyanD
- 22Roland SzolnokiD
- 6Laros DuarteM
- 10Palkó DárdaiM
- 4Michael OkekeM
- 74Martin KernM
- 8Dániel LukácsM
- 90András NémethF
- 20Mikael SoisaloF
- 66Zsombor VargaM
- 9Lamin ColleyF
- 16Urho NissiläM
- 24Tamás MarkekG
- 80Bendegúz FarkasD
- 76Barna PálD
- 77Kevin MondovicsF
- 88Bence VékonyM
Form going into MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy
MTK Budapest
All competitions we cover
- D3-3away to Budapest Honved1 August 2026
- W3-0Zalaegerszegi TE27 July 2026
Puskas Academy
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Kisvarda FC31 July 2026
- W2-0away to Debreceni VSC26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 13 |
| 1 | Puskas Academy | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: MTK Budapest vs Puskas Academy
- 15 May 2026Puskas Academy 2–2 MTK BudapestNB I
- 14 February 2026MTK Budapest 2–2 Puskas AcademyNB I
- 25 October 2025Puskas Academy 1–1 MTK BudapestNB I
- 6 April 2025Puskas Academy 1–1 MTK BudapestNB I
- 30 November 2024MTK Budapest 0–1 Puskas AcademyNB I
Leading scorers: MTK Budapest and Puskas Academy
MTK Budapest
GoalsAssists
- G. Jurek71
- Zalán Márk Kerezsi43
Puskas Academy
GoalsAssists
- A. Németh52
- P. Dárdai32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Puskas Academy won 3–2 at MTK Budapest. The model had leaned towards a win for MTK Budapest at 41% and given a win for Puskas Academy 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: M. Kern 18' for Puskas Academy, G. Harutyunyan 23' for Puskas Academy, G. Jurek 52' for MTK Budapest, Z. Kerezsi 78' for MTK Budapest, L. Colley 90+8' for Puskas Academy.