SJK
vs
Gnistan
Veikkausliiga prediction & result
Final score: SJK 2-2 Gnistan.
Before kick-off the model made it 65% SJK, 19% draw, 16% Gnistan — fair odds of 1.54, 5.26 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (10%).
Expected goals: SJK 2.38, Gnistan 1.11.
Both teams to score: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%, under 2.5: 32%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
SJK
- W3-0HJK Helsinki3 August 2026
- L1-2away to FF Jaro24 July 2026
- L0-2KuPS18 July 2026
- L0-1away to VPS10 July 2026
Gnistan
- L0-1KuPS1 August 2026
- W2-1away to Inter Turku26 July 2026
- W2-0away to AC Oulu18 July 2026
- W4-2Mariehamn11 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Veikkausliiga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | SJK | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 18 |
| 5 | Gnistan | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 24 | +5 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full tables
Leading scorers
SJK
No league goals recorded yet.
Gnistan
- A. Akinyemi3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives SJK the highest probability at 65%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.38 expected goals for SJK against 1.11 for Gnistan. SJK's attack/defence rating is 0.36/1.68 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.47/3.5 for Gnistan.