Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Molde 3-3 Sarpsborg 08 FF.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Molde, 24% draw, 23% Sarpsborg 08 FF — fair odds of 1.89, 4.17 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Molde at 53% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 22A. PosiadalaG
- 25M. LinnesD
- 4S. HansenD
- 33B. RisaD
- 26S. KabiniD
- 10E. BreivikM
- 30D. DagaM
- 5E. HestadM
- 23S. GranaasM
- 11C. ZadyM
- 24T. Kone-DohertyF
- 12P. LervikG
- 20M. EnggaardM
- 9J. AbdullaiF
- 29S. DiopF
- 28V. BenderM
- 52D. SylteD
- 8M. LovikD
- 6N. OdegardM
- 21O. Spiten-NysaeterF
- 87L. OyG
- 12C. NiyukuriD
- 4B. UtvikD
- 2M. LodeD
- 21A. HiimD
- 8S. ChristiansenM
- 6A. SherM
- 10S. SorliM
- 33A. NibeM
- 17N. WilliamsM
- 11D. KarlsbakkF
- 13C. ErikssonG
- 32E. WichneD
- 77O. SkarsemM
- 22V. E. HalvorsenM
- 81M. Svenningsen GronnM
- 7Camil MmaeeM
- 15M. OpokuM
- 18B. GueyeM
- 50M. M. EidalD
Form going into Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
Molde
All competitions we cover
- W4-2away to KFUM Oslo26 July 2026
- L1-2Brann18 July 2026
Sarpsborg 08 FF
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Ham-Kam26 July 2026
- D0-0away to Kristiansund BK18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Molde | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 36 | +21 | 43 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
- 25 May 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 MoldeEliteserien
- 30 November 2025Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–0 MoldeEliteserien
- 30 March 2025Molde 0–2 Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien
- 10 November 2024Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–2 MoldeEliteserien
- 20 May 2024Molde 2–4 Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien
Leading scorers: Molde and Sarpsborg 08 FF
Molde
GoalsAssists
- K. Lonebu122
- E. Breivik1010
- E. Hestad82
Sarpsborg 08 FF
GoalsAssists
- D. Karlsbakk71
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Molde and Sarpsborg 08 FF drew 3–3. The model had leaned towards a win for Molde at 53% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: S. Granaas 22' for Molde, D. Karlsbakk 33' for Sarpsborg 08 FF, A. Nibe 51' for Sarpsborg 08 FF, E. Hestad 56' for Molde, D. Daga 60' for Molde, A. Posiadala (own goal) 89' for Sarpsborg 08 FF. On expected goals it finished 1.55–0.75.