Molde
vs
Sarpsborg 08 FF
The model makes it 53% Molde, 24% draw, 23% Sarpsborg 08 FF — fair odds of 1.89, 4.17 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Molde 1.84, Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.16.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Head-to-head: Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
- 25 May 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 MoldeEliteserien
- 30 November 2025Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–0 MoldeEliteserien
- 30 March 2025Molde 0–2 Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien
- 10 November 2024Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–2 MoldeEliteserien
- 20 May 2024Molde 2–4 Sarpsborg 08 FFEliteserien
- 8 May 2024Molde 4–2 Sarpsborg 08 FFNM Cupen
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Molde the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.84 expected goals for Molde against 1.16 for Sarpsborg 08 FF. Molde's attack/defence rating is 0.79/1.2 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.69/1.23 for Sarpsborg 08 FF.