Sampdoria vs Catanzaro Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Sampdoria 2-1 Catanzaro.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Sampdoria, 29% draw, 31% Catanzaro — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sampdoria at 40% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sampdoria vs Catanzaro
Line-ups
- 1P. VindahlG
- 29A. Di PardoD
- 3S. GartenmannD
- 15F. Delli CarriD
- 7M. CicconiD
- 6L. HendersonM
- 45A. MakoumbouM
- 28O. AbildgaardM
- 16Y. VerschaerenM
- 10L. InsigneM
- 9T. LauritsenF
- 12Andrey KrastevG
- 43K. MbabuD
- 13L. RavanelliD
- 20D. SinaniF
- 99G. TutinoF
- 96S. MassoloG
- 14Yann KaramohF
- 25A. FerrariD
- 94S. EspositoM
- 22M. PigliacelliG
- 24M. RuggeroD
- 4Matias AntoniniD
- 3M. ImperialeD
- 93M. DorvalM
- 10J. PetriccioneM
- 98N. MostiM
- 30G. AlesiM
- 20S. PafundiM
- 9P. IemmelloM
- 19N. KoffiF
- 7N. BusoF
- 27A. CandelaD
- 21F. CassaM
- 29F. Di FrancescoF
- 80F. ReitaM
- 26B. VerrengiaD
- 28F. TchaounaM
- 31E. PecorinoF
- 1C. MariettaG
Form going into Sampdoria vs Catanzaro
Sampdoria
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Mantova13 September 2026
- L1-3away to Palermo7 September 2026
- L1-2Juve Stabia29 August 2026
- D1-1away to Cesena23 August 2026
Catanzaro
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Carrarese12 September 2026
- L0-2away to Sudtirol5 September 2026
- L1-2away to Pisa30 August 2026
- L2-3away to Vicenza Virtus21 August 2026
What these results say
- Sampdoria did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Sampdoria conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Sampdoria scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Catanzaro failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Catanzaro scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Catanzaro conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 5 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sampdoria vs Catanzaro
- 25 January 2026Catanzaro 0–0 SampdoriaSerie B
- 1 October 2025Sampdoria 0–0 CatanzaroSerie B
- 4 May 2025Catanzaro 2–2 SampdoriaSerie B
- 30 November 2024Sampdoria 3–3 CatanzaroSerie B
- 10 May 2024Catanzaro 1–3 SampdoriaSerie B
Leading scorers: Sampdoria and Catanzaro
Sampdoria
GoalsAssists
- L. Insigne30
Catanzaro
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sampdoria beat Catanzaro 2–1. The model had made a win for Sampdoria its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Stefan Gartenmann (own goal) 45+2' for Catanzaro, Lorenzo Insigne 56' for Sampdoria, Tjas Begic 85' for Sampdoria. Sent off: Oliver Abildgaard (Sampdoria) 64'.