Cremonese vs Virtus Entella Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Cremonese 0-0 Virtus Entella.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Cremonese, 28% draw, 22% Virtus Entella — fair odds of 2.00, 3.57 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Cremonese at 50% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cremonese vs Virtus Entella
Line-ups
- 22F. AgazziG
- 38A. VogliaccoD
- 15M. BianchettiD
- 6F. BaschirottoD
- 21Y. RocchettiD
- 20S. PontissoM
- 16F. GerliM
- 2M. ThorsbyM
- 10Adin LičinaF
- 90F. BonazzoliF
- 14T. BertiF
- 59Riccardo LiberaliG
- 18M. CollocoloM
- 25D. LordkipanidzeM
- 8Simone Lottici TessadriM
- 13Fellipe JackD
- 19M. NastiF
- 3G. PezzellaD
- 11M. ĐurićF
- 33A. GrassiM
- 22F. Del FrateG
- 23L. ParodiD
- 6A. TiritielloD
- 27M. AlborghettiD
- 8L. VignaliM
- 24A. FranzoniM
- 5N. SquizzatoM
- 80L. BenedettiM
- 26Stefano Di MarioM
- 10L. CupponeF
- 11Bernat GuiuF
- 55Lucas FelippeM
- 18T. AnnoniM
- 91S. ColombiG
- 9Giacomo CoronaF
- 32F. ForteF
- 70Marwane KrittaD
- 15I. MarconiD
- 3N. PrevitaliD
- 17M. TirelliF
Form going into Cremonese vs Virtus Entella
Cremonese
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Cesena12 September 2026
- W3-1Padova6 September 2026
- L0-3Modena28 August 2026
- L0-1away to Empoli22 August 2026
Virtus Entella
All competitions we cover
- W4-1away to Pisa11 September 2026
- D2-2Vicenza Virtus6 September 2026
- L1-2Cesena29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Sudtirol22 August 2026
What these results say
- Cremonese conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Cremonese failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Cremonese had three goals or more.
- Virtus Entella conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Virtus Entella failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Virtus Entella scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cremonese | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Virtus Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cremonese vs Virtus Entella
- 16 March 2021Virtus Entella 0–2 CremoneseSerie B
- 5 December 2020Cremonese 2–1 Virtus EntellaSerie B
- 25 January 2020Virtus Entella 1–1 CremoneseSerie B
- 31 August 2019Cremonese 0–1 Virtus EntellaSerie B
- 25 March 2018Cremonese 0–1 Virtus EntellaSerie B
Leading scorers: Cremonese and Virtus Entella
Cremonese
GoalsAssists
- F. Bonazzoli41
Virtus Entella
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Cremonese and Virtus Entella drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Cremonese at 50% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.