Rustavi vs Dila Erovnuli Liga prediction & result
Final score: Rustavi 3-1 Dila.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Rustavi, 31% draw, 33% Dila — fair odds of 2.78, 3.23 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Erovnuli Liga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Rustavi at 36%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rustavi vs Dila
Line-ups
- 21P. BeruashviliG
- 2S. AndghuladzeD
- 4DavidD
- 3V. PatsatsiaD
- 19N. ChikovaniD
- 22Y. NakanoM
- 13A. GujabidzeM
- 40D. UbilavaD
- 9JeanF
- 7K. S. AbdulM
- 10P. OseiF
- 12T. TarkashviliD
- 5Kevin William CeijasF
- 23M. GambošM
- 18N. JaparidzeF
- 8K. KakashviliM
- 27M. KapanadzeD
- 11S. KessiF
- 20L. ParkadzeM
- 35J. RolandG
- 12L. SanikidzeG
- 2T. KikabidzeD
- 13João AraújoD
- 25L. YarbroughD
- 16M. SanyangF
- 17B. AnoffM
- 8L. MenteshashviliM
- 14G. JalaghoniaD
- 10O. ParulavaM
- 22Shota ShekiladzeF
- 9K. KefingF
- 5Nelson Mike PuketiD
- 21Z. MuselianiF
- 15G. KobakhidzeM
- 1D. KereselidzeG
- 19B. GogoberishviliM
- 33R. EtouD
- 7Aviel Zargari
- 37L. EdhartF
Form going into Rustavi vs Dila
Rustavi
All competitions we cover
- L0-2FC Iberia 199921 September 2026
- W1-0away to Meshakhte14 September 2026
- D1-1away to Spaeri9 September 2026
- L0-1Dinamo Batumi4 September 2026
- D1-1away to Samgurali30 August 2026
Dila
All competitions we cover
- W4-1away to Spaeri21 September 2026
- L1-2away to FC Iberia 199917 September 2026
- D2-2Dinamo Batumi13 September 2026
- W3-1away to Samgurali9 September 2026
- W1-0Gagra5 September 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 5 matches for Rustavi had two goals or fewer.
- Rustavi failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Rustavi conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Dila scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Dila conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Dila had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rustavi | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 28 | +12 | 56 |
| 6 | Dila | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 40 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rustavi vs Dila
- 22 June 2026Dila 3–0 RustaviErovnuli Liga
- 1 May 2026Rustavi 1–0 DilaErovnuli Liga
- 11 April 2026Dila 1–2 RustaviErovnuli Liga
- 30 November 2019Rustavi 2–2 DilaErovnuli Liga
- 14 September 2019Dila 0–0 RustaviErovnuli Liga
The result against the call
Rustavi beat Dila 3–1. The model had made a win for Rustavi its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: kenio jackson 21' for Rustavi, jean 40' for Rustavi, Otar Parulava 60' for Dila, Vazha Patsatsia 71' for Rustavi.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Rustavi a 82.3% chance to finish in the top four: 93.7% after a win, 84.2% after a draw, 69.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 93.7%, 11.4 points higher than before the match.
For Dila the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 40.2% going in: 56.2% after a win, 37.4% after a draw, 26.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 26.3%, 13.9 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Erovnuli Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.