10 October 2026, 11:30 UTC

Meshakhte vs FC Iberia 1999 Erovnuli Liga prediction & result

Agrano Vachadze Stadium
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Meshakhte 1-2 FC Iberia 1999.

Before kick-off the model made it 22% Meshakhte, 29% draw, 49% FC Iberia 1999 — fair odds of 4.55, 3.45 and 2.04.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Iberia 1999 at 49%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Meshakhte0%Draw2%FC Iberia 199998%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
stephen jighjigh ende
18'
⚽Phillip Cancarassist: stephen jighjigh ende
Ivan Zotko
19'
23'
⚽nika sikharulashvili
⚽Tsotne·Patsatsiaassist: Mate Kvirkvia
33'
🔁Ivan Zotkoout: Lasha Ugrekhelidze
46'
49'
Phillip Cancar
55'
🔁stephen jighjigh endeout: Giorgi Beridze
pimentel eric
62'
🔁tarik sikaloout: Giorgi Gogolashvili
71'
🔁Giorgi burduliout: saba chkhetiani
71'
Erekle jijavadze
75'
80'
🔁Lucas Oliveira Bruneout: marc jean tiboue
80'
🔁nika sikharulashviliout: Eldar kuliiev
🔁Tsotne·Patsatsiaout: Giorgi Kantaria
83'
🔁Mate Kvirkviaout: maksym pyrohov
83'
87'
🔁Amiran Dzaganiaout: Lado Chikhradze
87'
🔁Nikoloz Dadianiout: Nikoloz Botchorishvili
90+1'
Nikoloz Botchorishvili

Match stats — Meshakhte vs FC Iberia 1999

51%Possession49%
12Shots12
4On target5
2Corners3

Line-ups

Meshakhte 4-4-2
  • 29L. ShovnadzeG
  • 23B. ShubitidzeM
  • 31Eric PimentelD
  • 38I. ZotkoD
  • 13G. BurduliD
  • 26B. GabiskiriaD
  • 20L. KurdadzeD
  • 7E. JijavadzeM
  • 11M. KvirkviaF
  • 18T. PatsatsiaM
  • 22T. ŠikaloM
Substitutes
  • 1L. TkeshelashviliG
  • 40L. UgrekhelidzeD
  • 24S. Chkhetiani
  • 16G. GegiaD
  • 10G. GogolashviliF
  • 8G. JamarauliM
  • 27G. KantariaM
  • 25R. NovruzovD
  • 30M. PyrogovM
FC Iberia 1999 4-3-3
  • 31G. MakaridzeG
  • 25A. AmisulashviliD
  • 3P. CancarD
  • 4V. SelimovićD
  • 5J. JinjolavaD
  • 6N. DadianiM
  • 19N. SikharulashviliM
  • 8B. KardavaM
  • 17S. EndeF
  • 9A. DzaganiaF
  • 18Lucas BruneM
Substitutes
  • 30N. BochorishviliD
  • 29L. ChikhradzeF
  • 40G. KobuladzeD
  • 23E. KulievM
  • 27G. KutsiaM
  • 7D. KvartskhavaF
  • 1T. MegrelishviliG
  • 33marc jean tiboueD
  • 26G. BeridzeF
Coach: A. Demchenko

Form going into Meshakhte vs FC Iberia 1999

Meshakhte

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Gagra19 September 2026
  • L0-1Rustavi14 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Dinamo Tbilisi10 September 2026
  • D2-2Spaeri5 September 2026
  • W2-0away to Torpedo Kutaisi31 August 2026

FC Iberia 1999

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Dinamo Tbilisi4 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Rustavi21 September 2026
  • W2-1Dila17 September 2026
  • W1-0Spaeri13 September 2026
  • L0-2away to Dinamo Batumi9 September 2026

What these results say

  • Meshakhte failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Meshakhte had two goals or fewer.
  • FC Iberia 1999 scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Erovnuli Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Meshakhte32311182553-2820
2FC Iberia 19993218594633+1359

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Meshakhte vs FC Iberia 1999

  • 23 June 2026FC Iberia 1999 2–1 MeshakhteErovnuli Liga
  • 2 May 2026Meshakhte 1–4 FC Iberia 1999Erovnuli Liga
  • 11 April 2026FC Iberia 1999 2–2 MeshakhteErovnuli Liga
  • 23 September 2025Meshakhte 0–3 FC Iberia 1999David Kipiani Cup

The result against the call

FC Iberia 1999 won 2–1 at Meshakhte. The model had made a win for FC Iberia 1999 its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Phillip Cancar 18' for FC Iberia 1999, nika sikharulashvili 23' for FC Iberia 1999, Tsotne·Patsatsia 33' for Meshakhte.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Iberia 1999 a 84.6% chance to finish in the top four: 90.0% after a win, 81.7% after a draw, 75.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 90.0%, 5.4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Erovnuli Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Meshakhte v FC Iberia 1999 has moved

First published on 26 Sep at 24% / 31% / 45% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 22% / 29% / 49%: the biggest move is FC Iberia 1999's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Meshakhte win22%▼ −2
  2. Draw29%▼ −2
  3. FC Iberia 1999 win49%▲ +4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.