Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0-1 FC Anyang.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Gimcheon Sangmu FC, 27% draw, 30% FC Anyang — fair odds of 2.33, 3.70 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Gimcheon Sangmu FC at 43%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang
Line-ups
- 41Park Man-HoG
- 42Hong Si-HooD
- 15Lim Dug-KeunD
- 5Kim Min-KyuD
- 44Park Min-SeoD
- 54Yoon Jae-SeokM
- 55Park Tae-JunM
- 56Lee Kang-HyunM
- 48Hong Yun-SangM
- 47Lee Sang-HeonF
- 49M. KangF
- 51Ahn Joon-SooG
- 46Chung Ma-HoM
- 57Jeong Jae-MinF
- 50Kang Ju-HyeokF
- 21Kim In-GyunF
- 2Min Kyeong-hyeonD
- 66Oh Jae-HyeokM
- 33Park Jin-SeongD
- 58Park Yong-HuiF
- 23Kim Jeong-HoonG
- 17Kang Ji-HoonD
- 5Kim Young-ChanD
- 33D. BakkerD
- 22Kim Dong-JinD
- 7Matheus OliveiraM
- 8Kim Jung-HyunM
- 18B. KneževićM
- 71Chae Hyun-WooF
- 9Breno HerculanoF
- 10I. JukićF
- 27Choi Geon-JooF
- 13Han Ka-ramM
- 24Kim Bo-KyungM
- 25Jae-hyeon KimD
- 3J. h. KimD
- 42Kim Sung-DongG
- 19Woon KimF
- 26Lee Jin-YongM
- 47Gang KimF
Form going into Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to Bucheon FC 199519 September 2026
- D2-2Gangwon FC13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Pohang Steelers9 September 2026
- D2-2Gwangju FC6 September 2026
- L1-3away to Ulsan Hyundai FC29 August 2026
FC Anyang
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Ulsan Hyundai FC19 September 2026
- D1-1away to Gwangju FC13 September 2026
- L2-3away to Daejeon Citizen9 September 2026
- L0-3Gangwon FC6 September 2026
- D1-1away to Bucheon FC 199529 August 2026
What these results say
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Anyang conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Anyang failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Anyang scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 35 | 6 | 20 | 9 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 38 |
| 8 | FC Anyang | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 46 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang
- 13 May 2026FC Anyang 2–2 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
- 12 April 2026Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 FC AnyangK League 1
- 18 October 2025FC Anyang 4–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
- 22 June 2025Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–0 FC AnyangK League 1
- 8 March 2025FC Anyang 1–3 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
Leading scorers: Gimcheon Sangmu FC and FC Anyang
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
GoalsAssists
- Go Jae-Hyeon53
FC Anyang
GoalsAssists
- Airton50
- Matheus Oliveira44
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Anyang won 1–0 at Gimcheon Sangmu FC. The model had leaned towards a win for Gimcheon Sangmu FC at 43% and given a win for FC Anyang 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Branislav Knezevic 37' for FC Anyang.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Gimcheon Sangmu FC a 87.3% chance to finish in the bottom three: 74.8% after a win, 96.0% after a draw, 100.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 100.0%, 12.7 points higher than before the match.
For FC Anyang the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 11.3% going in: 0.0% after a win, 2.9% after a draw, 22.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 0.0%, 11.3 points lower than before the match.
Read from our K League 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Gimcheon Sangmu FC v FC Anyang has moved
First published on 26 Sep at 41% / 29% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 43% / 27% / 30%: the biggest move is Gimcheon Sangmu FC's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC win43%▲ +2
- Draw27%▼ −2
- FC Anyang win30%=
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.