Dinamo Batumi vs Dinamo Tbilisi Erovnuli Liga prediction & result
Final score: Dinamo Batumi 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Dinamo Batumi, 27% draw, 37% Dinamo Tbilisi — fair odds of 2.78, 3.70 and 2.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Erovnuli Liga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Dinamo Tbilisi at 37%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dinamo Batumi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
Line-ups
- 13N. KalichavaG
- 29I. TuritsovD
- 23M. KobakhidzeD
- 24D. CarlsonD
- 5Y. KalleyD
- 39G. JaparidzeM
- 8S. AltunashviliM
- 22T. KirkitadzeF
- 18I. Oulad OmarM
- 20L. TsulukidzeM
- 9MauridesF
- 35R. ChiteishviliD
- 16A. EshetiyeM
- 19N. KalandarishviliD
- 1L. KupatadzeG
- 15E. MahmutovićD
- 7D. MandrîcencoM
- 6A. MylchenkoM
- 11Paulo VitorF
- 27L. ShengeliaF
- 20Lucas FloresG
- 17P. PsaltisD
- 27N. KurdićD
- 4N. UgrekhelidzeM
- 13M. PourzitídisD
- 8WeltonM
- 23J. KankavaM
- 24B. OseiM
- 7K. DoltmurzievF
- 22N. NinuaM
- 10G. KharaishviliM
- 11M. VatsadzeF
- 16N. TkaliaM
- 42Saba TartarashviliG
- 6Leonardo SantosD
- 3A. KalandadzeD
- 33L. HouriM
- 34M. GbomaduF
- 40mate gagvishviliG
- 14M. Do CoutoF
Form going into Dinamo Batumi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
All competitions we cover
- W3-2Torpedo Kutaisi20 September 2026
- D2-2away to Dila13 September 2026
- W2-0FC Iberia 19999 September 2026
- W1-0away to Rustavi4 September 2026
- W3-0Spaeri30 August 2026
Dinamo Tbilisi
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to FC Iberia 19994 October 2026
- W3-2away to Samgurali19 September 2026
- W4-0Gagra14 September 2026
- D0-0Meshakhte10 September 2026
- D1-1away to Torpedo Kutaisi6 September 2026
What these results say
- Dinamo Batumi went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Dinamo Batumi scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Dinamo Batumi won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Dinamo Tbilisi went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Dinamo Tbilisi scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Batumi | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56 | 40 | +16 | 59 |
| 3 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 32 | +20 | 58 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dinamo Batumi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
- 23 June 2026Dinamo Tbilisi 2–1 Dinamo BatumiErovnuli Liga
- 2 May 2026Dinamo Batumi 2–2 Dinamo TbilisiErovnuli Liga
- 11 April 2026Dinamo Tbilisi 2–2 Dinamo BatumiErovnuli Liga
- 18 October 2025Dinamo Tbilisi 1–1 Dinamo BatumiErovnuli Liga
- 4 August 2025Dinamo Batumi 1–4 Dinamo TbilisiErovnuli Liga
Leading scorers: Dinamo Batumi and Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
No player in Erovnuli Liga's leading scorers — 56 league goals as a side.
Dinamo Tbilisi
GoalsAssists
- Rodrigo Silva Ramos22
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Dinamo Batumi beat Dinamo Tbilisi 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Dinamo Tbilisi at 37% and given a win for Dinamo Batumi 36%. The goal: Maurides Roque Junior 44' for Dinamo Batumi.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Dinamo Batumi a 18.5% chance to finish top of the regular season: 28.8% after a win, 16.8% after a draw, 8.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 28.8%, 10.3 points higher than before the match.
For Dinamo Tbilisi the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 41.6% going in: 55.1% after a win, 38.9% after a draw, 28.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 28.6%, 13 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Erovnuli Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.