4 October 2026, 15:00 UTC

FC Iberia 1999 vs Dinamo Tbilisi Erovnuli Liga prediction & result

Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi
Referee: J. Khorava
Full time1 – 2

Final score: FC Iberia 1999 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% FC Iberia 1999, 30% draw, 33% Dinamo Tbilisi — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Iberia 1999 at 37%: of 4,355 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.5% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Iberia 19990%Draw4%Dinamo Tbilisi96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

9'
⚽M. Do Coutoassist: G. Kharaishvili
13'
M. Pourzitidis
46'
🔁Leo Santosout: Welton
46'
🔁B. Oseiout: M. Vatsadze
G. Kobuladze
46'
53'
N. Ugrekhelidze
🔁G. Kutsiaout: E. Kuliyev
57'
🔁G. Kobuladzeout: S. Ende
57'
68'
🔁J. Kankavaout: L. Houri
71'
⚽M. Vatsadzeassist: N. Ninua
72'
🔁M. Do Coutoout: M. Gbomadu
🔁Lucas Cafeout: G. Beridze
72'
78'
L. Flores
⚽J. Jinjolava (pen)
79'
Z. Natchkebia
80'
82'
🔁G. Kharaishviliout: A. Kalandadze
🔁J. Tiboueout: L. Chikhradze
88'

Line-ups

FC Iberia 1999
  • 31G. Makaridze
  • 40G. Kobuladze
  • 3P. Cancar
  • 5J. Jinjolava
  • 33J. Tiboue
  • 27G. Kutsia
  • 8B. Kardava
  • 18Lucas Cafe
  • 19N. Sikharulashvili
  • 10Z. Natchkebia
  • 9A. Dzagania
Substitutes
  • 1T. Megrelishvili
  • 7D. Kvartskhava
  • 12G. Kukalia
  • 17S. Ende
  • 23E. Kuliyev
  • 26G. Beridze
  • 28T. Khechikashvili
  • 29L. Chikhradze
  • 30N. Bochorishvili
Coach: Andriy Demchenko
Dinamo Tbilisi
  • 20L. Flores
  • 17P. Psaltis
  • 27N. Kurdic
  • 4N. Ugrekhelidze
  • 13M. Pourzitidis
  • 23J. Kankava
  • 6Leo Santos
  • 22N. Ninua
  • 24B. Osei
  • 10G. Kharaishvili
  • 14M. Do Couto
Substitutes
  • 3A. Kalandadze
  • 8Welton
  • 11M. Vatsadze
  • 26G. Gogua
  • 28R. Aleksidze
  • 29R. Danelia
  • 33L. Houri
  • 34M. Gbomadu
  • 42S. Tartarashvili
Coach: Vladimer Kakashvili

Form going into FC Iberia 1999 vs Dinamo Tbilisi

FC Iberia 1999

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0away to Rustavi21 September 2026
  • W2-1Dila17 September 2026
  • W1-0Spaeri13 September 2026
  • L0-2away to Dinamo Batumi9 September 2026
  • W2-1Samgurali5 September 2026

Dinamo Tbilisi

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2away to Samgurali19 September 2026
  • W4-0Gagra14 September 2026
  • D0-0Meshakhte10 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Torpedo Kutaisi6 September 2026
  • W2-1Dila31 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Erovnuli Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2FC Iberia 19993117594533+1256
3Dinamo Tbilisi31151065032+1855

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Iberia 1999 vs Dinamo Tbilisi

  • 27 June 2026FC Iberia 1999 1–0 Dinamo TbilisiSuper Cup
  • 16 May 2026Dinamo Tbilisi 2–0 FC Iberia 1999Erovnuli Liga
  • 15 March 2026FC Iberia 1999 0–0 Dinamo TbilisiErovnuli Liga
  • 26 November 2025FC Iberia 1999 1–0 Dinamo TbilisiErovnuli Liga
  • 19 September 2025Dinamo Tbilisi 2–1 FC Iberia 1999Erovnuli Liga

Leading scorers: FC Iberia 1999 and Dinamo Tbilisi

FC Iberia 1999

No player in Erovnuli Liga's leading scorers — 45 league goals as a side.

Dinamo Tbilisi

GoalsAssists

  • Rodrigo Silva Ramos22

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Dinamo Tbilisi won 2–1 at FC Iberia 1999. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Iberia 1999 at 37% and given a win for Dinamo Tbilisi 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: M. Do Couto 9' for Dinamo Tbilisi, M. Vatsadze 71' for Dinamo Tbilisi, J. Jinjolava (penalty) 79' for FC Iberia 1999.

How the call on FC Iberia 1999 v Dinamo Tbilisi has moved

First published on 20 Sep at 34% / 32% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 37% / 30% / 33%: the biggest move is FC Iberia 1999's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. FC Iberia 1999 win37%▲ +3
  2. Draw30%▼ −2
  3. Dinamo Tbilisi win33%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.