14 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Rosenborg vs Viking Eliteserien prediction & result

Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Rosenborg 2-1 Viking.

Before kick-off the model made it 60% Rosenborg, 20% draw, 20% Viking — fair odds of 1.67, 5.00 and 5.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Rosenborg at 60%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Rosenborg7%Draw90%Viking3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Emil Konradsen Ceideassist: Amin Chiakha
15'
🔁Noah Sahsahout: Jonas Mortensen
59'
🔁Dávid Ďurišout: Aslak Witry
59'
62'
🔁Ruben Alteout: Zlatko Tripić
62'
🔁Sondre Flem Bjørsholout: Simen Kvia-Egeskog
62'
🔁Henrik Sælebakke Falchenerout: Henrik Heggheim
72'
🔁Herman Johan Haugenout: Joe Bell
🔁Emil Konradsen Ceideout: Jesper Reitan-Sunde
79'
🔁Adrian Nilsen Pereiraout: Tobias Solheim Dahl
79'
81'
⚽Peter Christiansenassist: Zlatko Tripić
84'
🔁Edvin Austbøout: Romano Postema
⚽Amin Chiakhaassist: Mads Bomholt
90+5'

Match stats — Rosenborg vs Viking

55%Possession45%
17Shots6
8On target1
9Corners6
1.24xG1.86

Goals against chances

Rosenborg2 from 1.24 xGmore than the chances were worth
Viking1 from 1.86 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Rosenborg
  • 1Leopold WahlstedtG
  • 22Jonas SvenssonD
  • 4Mikkel Konradsen CeideD
  • 21Tomáš NemčíkD
  • 19Adrian Nilsen PereiraD
  • 11Noah SahsahM
  • 17Mads BomholtM
  • 10Ole SelnaesM
  • 29Dávid ĎurišM
  • 18Amin ChiakhaF
  • 35Emil Konradsen CeideF
Substitutes
  • 15Jonas MortensenD
  • 16Aslak WitryD
  • 3Tobias Solheim DahlD
  • 14Jesper Reitan-SundeF
  • 12Rasmus SandbergG
  • 5Håkon VoldenD
  • 25Johan Johanessen BakkeM
  • 28Elias SlordalM
  • 30Maciej SoboczynskiF
Coach: Freyr Alexandersson
Viking
  • 1Arild ØstbøG
  • 18Sondre Flem BjørsholD
  • 6Gianni StensnessD
  • 25Henrik Sælebakke FalchenerD
  • 24Vetle AuklendD
  • 7Kristoffer AskildsenM
  • 29Tobias MoiM
  • 16Ruben AlteM
  • 2Herman Johan HaugenF
  • 20Peter ChristiansenF
  • 17Edvin AustbøF
Substitutes
  • 5Henrik HeggheimD
  • 26Simen Kvia-EgeskogM
  • 10Zlatko TripićF
  • 8Joe BellM
  • 11Romano PostemaF
  • 30Ľubomír BelkoG
  • 3Viljar VevatneD
  • 28Kristoffer HaugenD
  • 23Niklas Kemp FuglestadF
Coach: Bjarte Aarsheim

Form going into Rosenborg vs Viking

Rosenborg

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0away to Lillestrom9 August 2026
  • L2-3away to Brann2 August 2026
  • W4-0Fredrikstad27 July 2026
  • W3-0away to Start18 July 2026

Viking

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Sarpsborg 08 FF8 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Start1 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Aalesund26 July 2026
  • W2-1away to Lillestrom22 July 2026
  • W2-1Sandefjord18 July 2026

What these results say

  • Rosenborg scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Rosenborg won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Rosenborg kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Viking went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Viking scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Viking won 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Rosenborg2614485332+2146
1Viking2620246927+4262

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Rosenborg vs Viking

  • 1 May 2026Viking 3–0 RosenborgEliteserien
  • 31 August 2025Viking 2–1 RosenborgEliteserien
  • 28 June 2025Rosenborg 1–1 VikingEliteserien
  • 16 March 2025Viking 3–2 RosenborgFriendlies Clubs
  • 18 August 2024Rosenborg 2–1 VikingEliteserien

Leading scorers: Rosenborg and Viking

Rosenborg

GoalsAssists

  • Amin Chiakha184

Viking

GoalsAssists

  • P. Christiansen187
  • S. Kvia-Egeskog93
  • H. Heggheim73

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Rosenborg beat Viking 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Rosenborg at 60%. The goals: Emil Konradsen Ceide 15' for Rosenborg, Peter Christiansen 81' for Viking, Amin Chiakha 90+5' for Rosenborg. On expected goals it finished 1.24–1.86.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.