KFUM Oslo vs Lillestrom Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: KFUM Oslo 1-1 Lillestrom.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% KFUM Oslo, 26% draw, 42% Lillestrom — fair odds of 3.13, 3.85 and 2.38.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Lillestrom at 42%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — KFUM Oslo vs Lillestrom
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25Havar JensenG
- 24Håkon RøstenD
- 13Brage SkaretD
- 2Daniel SchneiderD
- 14Hakon Helland HosethM
- 9Martin Tangen VinjorM
- 6Jacob Blixt FlatenM
- 16Jonas Lange HjorthM
- 18Rasmus Eggen VingeF
- 17Julian Bakkeli GonstadF
- 10Bilal NjieF
- 22Bjorn Martin KristensenF
- 4Momodou Lion NjieD
- 42David Hickson GyeduF
- 19Eirik Franke SaunesD
- 29Isaiah Zion Kabi SkovsgaardF
- 31Darian MinkG
- 33Amin NouriD
- 21Sander Hansen SjøkvistD
- 30Marko VuckovicM
- 12Pontus DahlbergG
- 2Lars RangerD
- 28Ruben GabrielsenD
- 47Stian KristiansenD
- 11Frederik ElkærD
- 26Yaw PaintsilM
- 29Ylldren IbrahimajM
- 18Kevin Martin KrygardM
- 14Gustav Kjolstad NyheimM
- 20Felix VáM
- 77Fredrik GulbrandsenF
- 7Karl Linus AlperudM
- 17Eric KitolanoM
- 15Gustav NordhF
- 16Henrik MellandM
- 1Stephan HagerupG
- 5Sander Moen FossD
- 3Sturla OttesenD
- 6Harald WoxenM
- 25Seun AkanjiM
Form going into KFUM Oslo vs Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Sandefjord7 August 2026
- W2-1Kristiansund BK2 August 2026
- L2-4Molde26 July 2026
- L1-2away to Lillestrom18 July 2026
Lillestrom
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Rosenborg9 August 2026
- L0-4away to Bodo/Glimt31 July 2026
- L1-2Viking22 July 2026
- W2-1KFUM Oslo18 July 2026
What these results say
- KFUM Oslo scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- KFUM Oslo conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for KFUM Oslo had three goals or more.
- Lillestrom conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Lillestrom failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Lillestrom had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 31 |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 39 | 35 | +4 | 45 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: KFUM Oslo vs Lillestrom
- 18 July 2026Lillestrom 2–1 KFUM OsloEliteserien
- 7 February 2026Lillestrom 7–2 KFUM OsloFriendlies Clubs
- 25 June 2025Lillestrom 2–0 KFUM OsloNM Cupen
- 28 February 2025Lillestrom 0–5 KFUM OsloFriendlies Clubs
- 30 August 2024KFUM Oslo 2–0 LillestromEliteserien
Leading scorers: KFUM Oslo and Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
GoalsAssists
- B. Njie83
Lillestrom
GoalsAssists
- Vá85
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
KFUM Oslo and Lillestrom drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Lillestrom at 42% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Felix Va 48' for Lillestrom, B. Kristensen 83' for KFUM Oslo. On expected goals it finished 0.92–2.01.