Kristiansund BK vs Molde Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Kristiansund BK 2-1 Molde.
Before kick-off the model made it 21% Kristiansund BK, 23% draw, 56% Molde — fair odds of 4.76, 4.35 and 1.79.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Molde at 56%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Kristiansund BK vs Molde
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Michael LansingG
- 22Haakon HaugenD
- 4Julius Mar JuliussonD
- 5Dan Peter UlvestadD
- 6Jesper IsaksenD
- 23Tobias Hammer SvendsenM
- 20Wilfred George IgorM
- 7Sander SvendsenM
- 10Heine Gikling BrusethF
- 19Leander AlvheimF
- 9Sander Hestetun KilenF
- 3Frederik FlexD
- 14Syver Skundberg SkeideM
- 27Adrian Kurd RønningF
- 17Max Normann WilliamsenD
- 2Anders BørsetD
- 12Adrian SætherG
- 38Aksel Nordvik BrattoyM
- 12Peder Hoel LervikG
- 25Martin LinnesD
- 4Sivert Sira HansenD
- 33Birk RisaD
- 26Samukelo KabiniD
- 10Emil BreivikM
- 30Daniel DagaM
- 5Eirik HestadM
- 23Sondre Milian GranaasM
- 21Oskar Spiten-NysæterM
- 9Jalal AbdullaiF
- 8Mathias LøvikD
- 24Trent Kone DohertyF
- 6Niklas OdegardM
- 28Viktor BenderM
- 19Eirik HauganD
- 22Albert PosiadałaG
- 20Mads EnggårdM
- 14Jacob ChristensenM
- 17Mats Møller DæhliM
Form going into Kristiansund BK vs Molde
Kristiansund BK
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to KFUM Oslo2 August 2026
- L1-2Start25 July 2026
- D0-0Sarpsborg 08 FF18 July 2026
Molde
All competitions we cover
- D3-3Sarpsborg 08 FF2 August 2026
- W4-2away to KFUM Oslo26 July 2026
- L1-2Brann18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kristiansund BK | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 26 |
| 5 | Molde | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 64 | 44 | +20 | 44 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Kristiansund BK vs Molde
- 16 May 2026Molde 1–0 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
- 6 February 2026Molde 0–0 Kristiansund BKFriendlies Clubs
- 4 October 2025Kristiansund BK 2–1 MoldeEliteserien
- 21 May 2025Molde 3–4 Kristiansund BKNM Cupen
- 16 May 2025Molde 0–1 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
Leading scorers: Kristiansund BK and Molde
Kristiansund BK
GoalsAssists
- L. Alvheim120
Molde
GoalsAssists
- K. Lonebu152
- E. Breivik1010
- E. Hestad82
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Kristiansund BK beat Molde 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Molde at 56% and given a win for Kristiansund BK 21%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: Sander Hestetun Kilen 25' for Kristiansund BK, Leander Alvheim 76' for Kristiansund BK, Trent Kone Doherty 89' for Molde. On expected goals it finished 0.66–3.16.