Kristiansund BK
vs
Molde
The model makes it 21% Kristiansund BK, 23% draw, 56% Molde — fair odds of 4.76, 4.35 and 1.79. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Kristiansund BK 1.14, Molde 1.95.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Kristiansund BK
- L1-2away to KFUM Oslo2 August 2026
- L1-2Start25 July 2026
- D0-0Sarpsborg 08 FF18 July 2026
- L0-3away to Rosenborg12 July 2026
- L1-3away to Valerenga29 May 2026
Molde
- D3-3Sarpsborg 08 FF2 August 2026
- W4-2away to KFUM Oslo26 July 2026
- L1-2Brann18 July 2026
- D2-2away to Aalesund11 July 2026
- W2-1Sandefjord30 May 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
| 5 | Molde | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 22 | +6 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Kristiansund BK vs Molde
- 16 May 2026Molde 1–0 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
- 6 February 2026Molde 0–0 Kristiansund BKFriendlies Clubs
- 4 October 2025Kristiansund BK 2–1 MoldeEliteserien
- 21 May 2025Molde 3–4 Kristiansund BKNM Cupen
- 16 May 2025Molde 0–1 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
- 18 September 2024Kristiansund BK 0–4 MoldeEliteserien
Leading scorers
Kristiansund BK
No league goals recorded yet.
Molde
- E. Breivik7 goals5 assists
- E. Hestad6 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Kristiansund BK carry a model rating of 6.32 against 6.73 for Molde. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Kristiansund BK L-L-D-L-L; Molde W-D-L-W-D.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.14 goals for Kristiansund BK and 1.95 for Molde. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Kristiansund BK rate 0.55 in attack and 1.60 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Molde rate 0.87 and 1.10.
That points to 60% for over two and a half goals and 59% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 211 correct results out of 450 settled predictions (47%), with 45 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Molde the highest probability at 56%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.14 expected goals for Kristiansund BK against 1.95 for Molde. Kristiansund BK's attack/defence rating is 0.55/1.6 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.87/1.1 for Molde.