15 August 2026, 15:30 UTC

FC Rostov vs Rubin Premier League prediction & result

Rostov Arena, Rostov
Full time1 – 1

Final score: FC Rostov 1-1 Rubin.

Before kick-off the model made it 65% FC Rostov, 18% draw, 17% Rubin — fair odds of 1.54, 5.56 and 5.88.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Rostov at 65%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Rostov7%Draw89%Rubin4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Ivan Komarov
29'
⚽T. Suleymanovassist: O. Olusegun
30'
Viktor Melekhin
46'
46'
🔁I. Saavedraout: I. Rozhkov
49'
•Igor Vujačić
Ygor Nogueira
50'
51'
⚽J. Siwe (pen)
65'
🔁R. Bezrukovout: D. Kuznetsov
72'
🔁A. Arroyoout: N. Lobov
72'
🔁M. Ignatievout: A. Jukic
🔁T. Suleymanovout: E. Golenkov
76'
🔁O. Olusegunout: Y. Mikhailov
83'
🔁A. Mironovout: D. Prokhin
90'
90+7'
🔁J. Siweout: D. N. Motorin

Match stats — FC Rostov vs Rubin

46%Possession54%
13Shots8
4On target1
5Corners2

Line-ups

FC Rostov 4-3-3
  • 1R. YatimovG
  • 4V. MelekhinD
  • 3O. SakoD
  • 40Ygor NogueiraD
  • 87A. LangovichD
  • 10I. KomarovM
  • 8A. MironovM
  • 18K. KuchaevM
  • 7RonaldoF
  • 99T. SuleymanovF
  • 6O. OlusegunF
Substitutes
  • 34D. A. GolikovG
  • 84A. PetrovG
  • 22D. SemenchukD
  • 27D. ProkhinD
  • 57I. ZhbanovM
  • 5Y. MikhailovM
  • 21D. ShantaliyM
  • 80K. MadrakhimovF
  • 17E. GolenkovF
Coach: Jonatan Alba
Rubin 5-4-1
  • 38E. StaverG
  • 12A. ArroyoD
  • 3D. MaldonadoD
  • 5I. VujacicD
  • 2E. TeslenkoD
  • 18M. IgnatievD
  • 22V. HodzaM
  • 6U. IwuM
  • 14I. SaavedraM
  • 23R. BezrukovM
  • 43J. SiweF
Substitutes
  • 25A. NigmatullinG
  • 86N. KoretsG
  • 70D. KabutovD
  • 51I. RozhkovD
  • 98N. LobovD
  • 71I. SamoshnikovD
  • 4K. NizhegorodovD
  • 13J. UrozovD
  • 11N. GripshiM
Coach: Franc Artiga

Form going into FC Rostov vs Rubin

FC Rostov

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to CSKA Moscow8 August 2026

Rubin

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1FC Orenburg9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Russia Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6FC Rostov145451819-119
8Rubin144641418-418

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Rostov vs Rubin

  • 6 December 2025FC Rostov 2–0 RubinPremier League
  • 17 August 2025Rubin 1–0 FC RostovPremier League
  • 11 May 2025Rubin 1–0 FC RostovPremier League
  • 9 August 2024FC Rostov 1–1 RubinPremier League
  • 11 May 2024Rubin 3–1 FC RostovPremier League

The result against the call

FC Rostov and Rubin drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Rostov at 65% and given a draw 18%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goals: T. Suleymanov 30' for FC Rostov, J. Siwe (penalty) 51' for Rubin.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.