Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Heidenheim 2. Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Hertha BSC 4-1 1. FC Heidenheim.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Hertha BSC, 23% draw, 38% 1. FC Heidenheim — fair odds of 2.56, 4.35 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Hertha BSC at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Heidenheim
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 35Marius GersbeckG
- 2Julian EitschbergerD
- 44Linus GechterD
- 27Niklas KolbeD
- 42Deyovaisio ZeefuikD
- 33Soufian GouramM
- 30Paul SeguinM
- 8Kevin SessaM
- 22Marten WinklerF
- 17Sebastian GrønningF
- 7Josip BrekaloF
- 19Oluwaseun AdewumiF
- 18Jan Luca SchulerF
- 41Pascal KlemensD
- 31Márton DárdaiD
- 23Jón Dagur ÞórsteinssonF
- 43Tim GollerG
- 29Jerome DialloD
- 21Boris Mamuzah LumM
- 47Selim TelibM
- 1Frank FellerG
- 22Oualid MhamdiD
- 6Patrick MainkaD
- 4Tim SierslebenD
- 19Jonas FöhrenbachD
- 24Marcel CostlyM
- 18Marvin PieringerM
- 3Jan SchöppnerM
- 21Adrian BeckM
- 17Mathias HonsakM
- 11Budu ZivzivadzeF
- 2Marnon BuschD
- 5Benedikt GimberD
- 41Marko ZrilicM
- 29Mikkel KaufmannF
- 14Maximilian BreunigF
- 33Thomas DähneG
- 23Leart PaqaradaD
- 8Paul HennrichM
- 16Julian NiehuesM
Form going into Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Heidenheim
Hertha BSC
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to VfL Bochum7 August 2026
1. FC Heidenheim
All competitions we cover
- W4-3VfL Osnabrück8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 9 | +16 | 31 |
| 7 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Heidenheim
- 30 October 2024Hertha BSC 2–1 1. FC HeidenheimDFB Pokal
- 10 February 2016FC Heidenheim 2–3 Hertha BerlinDFB Pokal
Leading scorers: Hertha BSC and 1. FC Heidenheim
Hertha BSC
GoalsAssists
- J. Brekalo55
- O. Adewumi50
- S. Grønning41
1. FC Heidenheim
No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hertha BSC beat 1. FC Heidenheim 4–1. The model had made a win for Hertha BSC its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: S. Gronning 2' for Hertha BSC, M. Winkler 26' for Hertha BSC, D. Zeefuik 35' for Hertha BSC, J. Schoppner 49' for 1. FC Heidenheim, O. Adewumi 90' for Hertha BSC. Sent off: D. Zeefuik (Hertha BSC) 88'. On expected goals it finished 1.97–1.02.