15 August 2026, 17:45 UTC

FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat Premier League prediction & result

Ozon Arena, Krasnodar
Full time1 – 0

Final score: FC Krasnodar 1-0 Akhmat.

Before kick-off the model made it 61% FC Krasnodar, 22% draw, 17% Akhmat — fair odds of 1.64, 4.55 and 5.88.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Krasnodar at 61%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Krasnodar97%Draw3%Akhmat0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
Miroslav Bogosavac
⚽Christianassist: D. Vorobyev
45'
46'
🔁M. Bogosavacout: M. Sidorov
58'
🔁E. Maksutiout: G. Melkadze
64'
Lechii Sadulaev
🔁K. Leniniout: M. Ozdoev
71'
🔁D. Vorobyevout: D. Utkin
76'
🔁Joao Batxiout: J. Boselli
76'
76'
🔁I. Silvaout: K. Shchetinin
77'
🔁M. Samorodovout: G. Kenzhebek
81'
Maksim Sidorov
🔁L. Olazaout: A. Khmarin
82'
84'
🔁A. Adamovout: A. Kasadzhikov
Jubal
90+4'
90+3'
Georgiy Melkadze

Match stats — FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat

60%Possession40%
16Shots8
3On target0
3Corners4

Line-ups

FC Krasnodar 4-2-3-1
  • 1S. AgkatsevG
  • 40I. VakhaniaD
  • 3V. TormenaD
  • 5Jubal JuniorD
  • 15L. OlazaD
  • 53A. ChernikovM
  • 6K. LeniniM
  • 18ChristianM
  • 88N. KrivtsovM
  • 11Joao BatxiM
  • 10D. VorobyevF
Substitutes
  • 16A. KoryakinG
  • 4Diego CostaD
  • 17V. PaltsevD
  • 59A. KhmarinD
  • 21M. OzdoevM
  • 47D. UtkinM
  • 23J. BoselliF
  • 67K. MukailovF
Coach: Murad Musaev
Akhmat 5-4-1
  • 1V. UlyanovG
  • 95A. AdamovD
  • 4T. IbishevD
  • 90O. NdongD
  • 5K. CakeD
  • 8M. BogosavacD
  • 20M. SamorodovM
  • 18J. RomaoM
  • 11I. SilvaM
  • 7L. SadulaevM
  • 76E. MaksutiF
Substitutes
  • 88G. SheliaG
  • 71R. MitsaevG
  • 81M. SidorovD
  • 10K. ShchetininM
  • 6K. SidibeM
  • 42M. KelianoM
  • 70A. GadzhievM
  • 13M. KonateF
  • 23G. KenzhebekM
Coach: Stanislav Cherchesov

Form going into FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat

FC Krasnodar

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to Spartak Moscow9 August 2026

Akhmat

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to Fakel10 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Russia Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4FC Krasnodar147522518+726
12Akhmat143561619-314

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Krasnodar vs Akhmat

  • 5 August 2026FC Krasnodar 1–1 AkhmatCup
  • 4 April 2026Akhmat 0–1 FC KrasnodarPremier League
  • 4 October 2025FC Krasnodar 2–0 AkhmatPremier League
  • 19 April 2025FC Krasnodar 3–1 AkhmatPremier League
  • 11 March 2025FC Krasnodar 1–2 AkhmatCup

Leading scorers: FC Krasnodar and Akhmat

FC Krasnodar

GoalsAssists

  • J. Córdoba61
  • Batxi53
  • Christian34

Akhmat

GoalsAssists

  • L. Sadulaev33

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Krasnodar beat Akhmat 1–0. The model had made a win for FC Krasnodar its most likely outcome, at 61%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goal: Christian 45' for FC Krasnodar.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.