13 August 2026, 16:30 UTC

Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

LNK Sporta Parks, Riga
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Rīgas FS 1-2 FK Jablonec.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% Rīgas FS, 26% draw, 44% FK Jablonec — fair odds of 3.33, 3.85 and 2.27.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: FK Jablonec 2–0 Rīgas FS (6 Aug) →

FK Jablonec went through 4–1 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

FK Jablonec at 44%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Rīgas FS0%Draw3%FK Jablonec97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

4'
⚽R. Sedlacekassist: M. Polidar
22'
⚽S. Nebyla (pen)
⚽Z. Lipuscekassist: D. Zelenkovs
38'
Stefan Panić
49'
Modou Saidy
56'
61'
🔁F. Zorvanout: A. Rusek
61'
🔁M. Polidarout: J. Suchan
69'
Richard Sedláček
🔁A. Baldeout: M. Sylla
71'
78'
🔁L. Jawoout: N. Okeke
Aleksandar Filipović
79'
Aleksandar Filipović
83'
Aleksandar Filipović
83'
🔁M. Saidyout: D. Lemajic
84'
🔁L. Odishariaout: G. Mankenda
84'
85'
🔁V. Chanturishviliout: D. Soucek
85'
🔁S. Nebylaout: F. Vecheta
89'
Filip Vecheta

Match stats — Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec

58%Possession42%
8On target2
4Corners5

Line-ups

Rīgas FS 4-2-3-1
  • 1R. MatrevicsG
  • 6A. FilipovicD
  • 23H. PrengaD
  • 43Z. LipuscekD
  • 18D. ZelenkovsM
  • 66M. SaidyM
  • 26S. PanicM
  • 19A. BaldeM
  • 10J. IkaunieksM
  • 8L. OdishariaM
  • 15R. NdjikiF
Substitutes
  • 40M. MuizzemnieksG
  • 4R. VeipsD
  • 5N. SliedeD
  • 9D. KoracF
  • 14M. SyllaM
  • 21N. DusalijevsM
  • 22D. LemajicF
  • 77G. MankendaM
  • 81S. RakicM
Coach: Viktors Morozs
FK Jablonec 3-5-2
  • 1J. HanusG
  • 18M. CedidlaD
  • 4N. TekijaskiD
  • 15D. PavlovicD
  • 7V. ChanturishviliM
  • 25S. NebylaM
  • 13R. SedlacekM
  • 8F. ZorvanM
  • 20J. SlamaD
  • 44L. JawoF
  • 21M. PolidarM
Substitutes
  • 99K. MihelakG
  • 6N. OkekeM
  • 9A. RusekF
  • 10J. SuchanM
  • 14D. SoucekD
  • 16H. AhlM
  • 19J. ChramostaF
  • 23E. SobolM
  • 27F. VechetaF
Coach: Lubos Kozel

Form going into Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec

Rīgas FS

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to FK Jablonec6 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Vestri30 July 2026
  • W4-1Vestri23 July 2026

FK Jablonec

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Slovácko9 August 2026
  • W2-0Rīgas FS6 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Pardubice2 August 2026
  • W2-0NK Varazdin30 July 2026
  • W2-1Sigma Olomouc26 July 2026

What these results say

  • FK Jablonec won every one of these 5 matches.
  • FK Jablonec scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • FK Jablonec kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec

  • 6 August 2026FK Jablonec 2–0 Rīgas FSUEFA Europa Conference League

Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.

The result against the call

FK Jablonec won 2–1 at Rīgas FS. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for FK Jablonec at 44%. The goals: R. Sedlacek 4' for FK Jablonec, S. Nebyla (penalty) 22' for FK Jablonec, Z. Lipuscek 38' for Rīgas FS. Sent off: Aleksandar Filipović (Rīgas FS) 83'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.