Shelbourne vs Ajax UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Shelbourne 2-2 Ajax.
Before kick-off the model made it 8% Shelbourne, 14% draw, 78% Ajax — fair odds of 12.50, 7.14 and 1.28.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Ajax 3–1 Shelbourne (6 Aug) →
Ajax went through 5–3 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Ajax at 78%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Shelbourne vs Ajax
Line-ups
- 19E. BeachG
- 15S. BoneD
- 16O. CaseyD
- 4K. LedwidgeD
- 25M. MbengM
- 27E. CaffreyM
- 6J. LunneyM
- 23K. McInroyM
- 18J. NorrisM
- 17D. KellyF
- 20R. FreitasF
- 13M. JohnsonG
- 55J. RocheD
- 2S. GannonD
- 60C. RyanM
- 22S. MooreD
- 44D. RingF
- 36W. JarvisM
- 56J. WunaF
- 26M. PaesG
- 3A. GaaeiD
- 30A. BouwmanD
- 17D. BlindD
- 5O. WijndalD
- 8J. BrandtM
- 6Y. RegeerM
- 24J. MokioM
- 7M. CarrizoF
- 38Marcos LeonardoF
- 20O. EdvardsenF
- 1M. ter StegenG
- 22J. HeerkensG
- 15Y. BaasD
- 36D. JanseD
- 12Caio HenriqueD
- 2L. RosaD
- 68A. OuazaneM
- 18D. KlaassenM
- 10O. GloukhM
Form going into Shelbourne vs Ajax
Shelbourne
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Ajax6 August 2026
- L1-2away to Kalju Nomme30 July 2026
- W5-2Kalju Nomme23 July 2026
Ajax
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to PEC Zwolle9 August 2026
- W3-1Shelbourne6 August 2026
- W4-1Vojvodina30 July 2026
- W4-1away to Vojvodina23 July 2026
What these results say
- Ajax won every one of these 4 matches.
- Ajax scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Ajax conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Shelbourne and Ajax in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shelbourne | Premier Division | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 52 | 50 | +2 | 49 |
| 11 | Ajax | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 6 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Premier Division · UEFA Europa Conference League
Head-to-head: Shelbourne vs Ajax
- 6 August 2026Ajax 3–1 ShelbourneUEFA Europa Conference League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: Shelbourne and Ajax
Shelbourne
GoalsAssists
- H. Wood85
- D. Kelly84
- J. Martin82
Ajax
GoalsAssists
- T. Arokodare63
- D. Klaassen60
- O. Gloukh52
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Shelbourne and Ajax drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Ajax at 78% and given a draw 14%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 7 matches like this one. The goals: J. Brandt 20' for Ajax, R. Freitas 24' for Shelbourne, A. Gaaei 39' for Ajax, S. Moore 85' for Shelbourne.