6 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou
Full time2 – 0

Final score: FK Jablonec 2-0 Rīgas FS.

Before kick-off the model made it 68% FK Jablonec, 19% draw, 13% Rīgas FS — fair odds of 1.47, 5.26 and 7.69.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Rīgas FS v FK Jablonec, 13 Aug →

FK Jablonec went through 4–1 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

FK Jablonec at 68%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FK Jablonec99%Draw1%Rīgas FS0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽V. Chanturishviliassist: F. Zorvan
18'
46'
🔁M. Kigursout: D. Korac
⚽M. Polidarassist: M. Cedidla
53'
🔁L. Jawoout: A. Rusek
62'
🔁F. Zorvanout: S. Nebyla
62'
76'
🔁S. Rakicout: M. Saidy
🔁N. Okekeout: J. Suchan
79'
🔁V. Chanturishviliout: H. Ahl
86'
🔁M. Polidarout: J. Chramosta
86'
89'
🔁L. Odishariaout: A. Balde

Match stats — FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS

46%Possession54%
5On target1
2Corners6

Line-ups

FK Jablonec 3-5-1-1
  • 1J. HanusG
  • 18M. CedidlaD
  • 4N. TekijaskiD
  • 15D. PavlovicD
  • 7V. ChanturishviliM
  • 13R. SedlacekM
  • 6N. OkekeM
  • 21M. PolidarM
  • 20J. SlamaD
  • 8F. ZorvanM
  • 44L. JawoF
Substitutes
  • 99K. MihelakG
  • 9A. RusekF
  • 10J. SuchanM
  • 14D. SoucekD
  • 16H. AhlM
  • 19J. ChramostaF
  • 23E. SobolM
  • 25S. NebylaM
  • 27F. VechetaF
Coach: Lubos Kozel
Rīgas FS 4-2-3-1
  • 1R. MatrevicsG
  • 6A. FilipovicD
  • 23H. PrengaD
  • 43Z. LipuscekD
  • 18D. ZelenkovsM
  • 81S. RakicM
  • 26S. PanicM
  • 8L. OdishariaM
  • 49M. KigursM
  • 10J. IkaunieksM
  • 15R. NdjikiF
Substitutes
  • 40M. MuizzemnieksG
  • 4R. VeipsD
  • 5N. SliedeD
  • 9D. KoracF
  • 14M. SyllaM
  • 19A. BaldeM
  • 21N. DusalijevsM
  • 66M. SaidyM
  • 77G. MankendaM
Coach: Viktors Morozs

Form going into FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS

FK Jablonec

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0away to Pardubice2 August 2026
  • W2-0NK Varazdin30 July 2026
  • W2-1Sigma Olomouc26 July 2026
  • L2-3away to NK Varazdin23 July 2026

Rīgas FS

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Vestri30 July 2026
  • W4-1Vestri23 July 2026

What these results say

  • FK Jablonec scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • FK Jablonec won 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

The result against the call

FK Jablonec beat Rīgas FS 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for FK Jablonec at 68%. The goals: V. Chanturishvili 18' for FK Jablonec, M. Polidar 53' for FK Jablonec.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.