Atletico Nacional vs Junior Primera A prediction & result
Final score: Atletico Nacional 3-1 Junior.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Atletico Nacional, 27% draw, 23% Junior — fair odds of 2.00, 3.70 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Atletico Nacional at 50%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Atletico Nacional vs Junior
Line-ups
- 34F. ArmaniG
- 6A. RománD
- 3N. ParraD
- 16W. TesilloD
- 20M. CascoD
- 22E. CabreraM
- 26F. MarinM
- 27Y. PerlazaM
- 23J. RodríguezM
- 29A. SarmientoM
- 99I. PovedaF
- 10E. CardonaM
- 4C. HaydarD
- 30K. ParraM
- 24J. RosaF
- 8M. UribeM
- 80J. ZapataM
- 31X. RiosM
- 25L. MarquinezG
- 30J. MartínezG
- 98J. PeñaD
- 5D. RiveraD
- 23P. OrtízD
- 26Y. SúarezD
- 14J. RíosM
- 80F. ÁngelM
- 25D. CaicedoM
- 9G. PaivaM
- 88B. CastrillónM
- 29T. GutiérrezF
- 12J. AcostaG
- 77C. BarriosF
- 10L. MurielF
- 22Jesús RivasM
- 7H. RiveraM
- 20J. SarmientoM
- 34Daniel SocarrasD
- 6D. VillarrealM
- 28G. CelisM
Form going into Atletico Nacional vs Junior
Atletico Nacional
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Millonarios25 September 2026
- L0-2away to Llaneros21 September 2026
Junior
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Independiente Medellin27 September 2026
- W4-1away to Fortaleza FC20 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 17 | +20 | 39 |
| 14 | Junior | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Atletico Nacional vs Junior
- 8 June 2026Atletico Nacional 1–0 JuniorPrimera A
- 3 June 2026Junior 3–0 Atletico NacionalPrimera A
- 11 March 2026Junior 0–4 Atletico NacionalPrimera A
- 30 November 2025Junior 2–1 Atletico NacionalPrimera A
- 27 November 2025Atletico Nacional 1–1 JuniorPrimera A
Leading scorers: Atletico Nacional and Junior
Atletico Nacional
GoalsAssists
- A. Morelos166
- A. Sarmiento117
- E. Cardona104
Junior
GoalsAssists
- L. Muriel163
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Atletico Nacional beat Junior 3–1. The model had made a win for Atletico Nacional its most likely outcome, at 50%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Andrés Sarmiento 8' for Atletico Nacional, Andrés Román 17' for Atletico Nacional, Guillermo Paiva 24' for Junior, Andrés Román 71' for Atletico Nacional.