19 September 2026, 21:30 UTC

Remo vs Santos Serie A prediction & result

Estadio Evandro Almeida, Belem
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Remo 1-2 Santos.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Remo, 30% draw, 34% Santos — fair odds of 2.78, 3.33 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Remo at 36% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Remo0%Draw4%Santos96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

19'
Gonzalo Escobar
José Welison
53'
🔁Vitor Buenoout: Alef·Manga
62'
71'
🔁Gustavo Henriqueout: Vinicius Moreira de Lima
73'
Gabriel Barbosa
🔁Ze Ricardoout: Glaybson Yago Souza Lisboa
74'
🔁Leonel Piccoout: Jáderson Flores dos Reis
74'
78'
⚽Ronyassist: Gabriel Barbosa
🔁Gabriel Taliariout: Gabriel Poveda
80'
🔁Antonio Galeanoout: Paulo Sérgio Da Costa Evangelista Junior
80'
⚽Marllonassist: Glaybson Yago Souza Lisboa
83'
Gabriel Poveda
85'
87'
⚽Gabriel Barbosaassist: Lucas Veríssimo
Gabriel Poveda
90+2'
90+2'
Luan Peres
90+3'
Gabriel Bontempo
90+4'
🔁Gabriel Bontempoout: Thaciano
90+4'
🔁Gabriel Barbosaout: Gabriel Menino
90+9'
🔁Ronyout: Gustavo Caballero

Match stats — Remo vs Santos

49%Possession51%
13Shots10
4On target4
5Corners4

Line-ups

Remo 4-2-3-1
  • 88Marcelo RangelG
  • 79MarcelinhoD
  • 13MarllonD
  • 18D. TchambaD
  • 6MarlonD
  • 14L. PiccoM
  • 28José WelisonM
  • 21A. GaleanoM
  • 55Zé RicardoM
  • 19Gabriel TaliariM
  • 15Vitor BuenoF
Substitutes
  • 11Alef MangaF
  • 26David FranciscoM
  • 9Gabriel PovedaF
  • 97IvanG
  • 10JádersonF
  • 5Leo AndradeD
  • 2Matheus AlexandreD
  • 22Yago PikachuM
  • 94Ygor VinhasG
Coach: Thiago Carpini
Santos 4-2-3-1
  • 1DiógenesG
  • 23RodineiD
  • 4Lucas VeríssimoD
  • 14Luan PeresD
  • 31G. EscobarD
  • 6ArthurM
  • 28C. OlivaM
  • 8Gabriel BontempoM
  • 48Gustavo Henrique PereiraM
  • 33RonyM
  • 9Gabriel BarbosaF
Substitutes
  • 16ThacianoM
  • 81S. PierriM
  • 30M. TercerosM
  • 45LimaM
  • 17G. CaballeroF
  • 5João SchmidtM
  • 34João PauloG
  • 26João Paulo AnaniasD
  • 18Igor ViniciusD
Coach: Cuca

Form going into Remo vs Santos

Remo

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Bahia14 September 2026
  • L0-1Flamengo6 September 2026
  • L2-3Coritiba31 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Fluminense22 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Internacional17 August 2026

Santos

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Cruzeiro13 September 2026
  • W3-2away to Internacional6 September 2026
  • W1-0away to Corinthians30 August 2026
  • D1-1Mirassol23 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Vasco da Gama16 August 2026

What these results say

  • Remo did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Remo conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Remo scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Santos went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Santos scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Santos won 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
19Remo33611163651-1529
8Santos331211104947+247

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Remo vs Santos

  • 5 August 2026Remo 0–1 SantosCopa Do Brasil
  • 2 August 2026Santos 0–0 RemoCopa Do Brasil
  • 2 April 2026Santos 2–0 RemoSerie A

Leading scorers: Remo and Santos

Remo

GoalsAssists

  • Jája Silva91

Santos

GoalsAssists

  • Gabriel Barbosa153
  • Neymar83

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Santos won 2–1 at Remo. The model had leaned towards a win for Remo at 36% and given a win for Santos 34%. The goals: Rony 78' for Santos, Marllon 83' for Remo, Gabriel Barbosa 87' for Santos. Sent off: Gabriel Poveda (Remo) 90+2'.

How the call on Remo v Santos has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 34% / 28% / 38% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 36% / 30% / 34%: the biggest move is Santos's chance of winning, down 4 points.

  1. Remo win36%▲ +2
  2. Draw30%▲ +2
  3. Santos win34%▼ −4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.