RB Bragantino vs Mirassol Serie A prediction & result
Final score: RB Bragantino 1-1 Mirassol.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% RB Bragantino, 30% draw, 29% Mirassol — fair odds of 2.44, 3.33 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
RB Bragantino at 41%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — RB Bragantino vs Mirassol
Line-ups
- 18Tiago VolpiG
- 52Ryan TavaresD
- 16Gustavo MarquesD
- 2Guzmán RodríguezD
- 29Juninho CapixabaD
- 28Patrick SilvaM
- 7Eric RamiresM
- 21Lucas BarbosaM
- 47WallaceM
- 11FernandoM
- 8Eduardo SashaF
- 1CleitonG
- 3Eduardo SantosD
- 19BruninhoF
- 5FabinhoM
- 6GabrielM
- 22GustavinhoM
- 32J. HerreraF
- 35Matheus FernandesM
- 9I. PittaF
- 22WalterG
- 32Igor FormigaD
- 34João VictorD
- 3Willian MachadoD
- 6ReinaldoD
- 25Neto MouraM
- 27DenilsonM
- 95EdsonM
- 33EduardoM
- 10ChicoM
- 30Bruno SantosF
- 80WallissonM
- 96Carlos EduardoF
- 20Daniel BorgesD
- 44GabrielD
- 19Gustavo SilvaM
- 5JapaM
- 2Lucas OliveiraD
- 7ShaylonM
- 90ThomazellaG
Form going into RB Bragantino vs Mirassol
RB Bragantino
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Flamengo20 September 2026
- D1-1away to Botafogo12 September 2026
- L2-3Bahia5 September 2026
- L1-2away to Sao Paulo29 August 2026
- W1-0Gremio23 August 2026
Mirassol
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Botafogo19 September 2026
- D2-2Vitoria13 September 2026
- W2-1away to Coritiba6 September 2026
- L0-2away to Flamengo2 September 2026
- D1-1Palmeiras30 August 2026
What these results say
- RB Bragantino scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- RB Bragantino failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- RB Bragantino conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Mirassol scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Mirassol conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Brazil Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 39 | +5 | 47 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 40 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: RB Bragantino vs Mirassol
- 13 May 2026Mirassol 2–1 RB BragantinoCopa Do Brasil
- 23 April 2026RB Bragantino 1–1 MirassolCopa Do Brasil
- 5 April 2026Mirassol 0–1 RB BragantinoSerie A
- 21 January 2026Mirassol 0–0 RB BragantinoPaulista - A1
- 1 October 2025Mirassol 1–1 RB BragantinoSerie A
The result against the call
RB Bragantino and Mirassol drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for RB Bragantino at 41% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Eduardo Sasha 51' for RB Bragantino, André Luis 70' for Mirassol. Sent off: João Victor Carroll Santana (Mirassol) 28'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.