Remo vs Atletico Mineiro Serie A prediction & result
Final score: Remo 2-2 Atletico Mineiro.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Remo, 23% draw, 48% Atletico Mineiro — fair odds of 3.45, 4.35 and 2.08.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Atletico Mineiro at 48%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Remo vs Atletico Mineiro
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 88Marcelo RangelG
- 2Matheus AlexandreD
- 13MarllonD
- 4Matheus FelipeD
- 77MaykD
- 28Ze WelisonM
- 14L. PiccoM
- 22Yago PikachuM
- 55Ze RicardoM
- 7JajaM
- 19Gabriel TaliariF
- 97IvanG
- 94Ygor VinhasG
- 8PatrickM
- 10JadersonF
- 11Alef MangaF
- 5Leo AndradeD
- 9Gabriel PovedaF
- 35Edson FernandoM
- 39Eduardo MeloF
- 22EversonG
- 23A. PreciadoD
- 4Ruan TressoldiD
- 14Vitor HugoD
- 36K. PasciniD
- 39M. CisseM
- 8MayconM
- 21A. FrancoM
- 27A. MindaF
- 19ReinierF
- 11BernardF
- 31RobertG
- 1Gabriel DelfimG
- 9M. CassierraF
- 2NatanaelD
- 30Victor HugoM
- 5AlexsanderM
- 92DuduF
- 13LyancoD
- 17Igor GomesM
Form going into Remo vs Atletico Mineiro
Remo
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Mirassol29 July 2026
- W2-0Vitoria26 July 2026
- L0-3away to Corinthians23 July 2026
Atletico Mineiro
All competitions we cover
- W1-0RB Bragantino29 July 2026
- W2-1away to Palmeiras26 July 2026
- D1-1Bahia21 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Brazil Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 57 | -20 | 29 |
| 7 | Atletico Mineiro | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 40 | +4 | 50 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Remo vs Atletico Mineiro
- 11 February 2026Atletico Mineiro 3–3 RemoSerie A
- 10 June 2021Atletico Mineiro 2–1 RemoCopa Do Brasil
- 2 June 2021Remo 0–2 Atletico MineiroCopa Do Brasil
Leading scorers: Remo and Atletico Mineiro
Remo
GoalsAssists
- Jája Silva91
Atletico Mineiro
No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 44 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Remo and Atletico Mineiro drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Atletico Mineiro at 48% and given a draw 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Jaja 3' for Remo, Reinier 34' for Atletico Mineiro, Bernard 38' for Atletico Mineiro, Gabriel Taliari 74' for Remo. On expected goals it finished 0.67–1.07.