14 August 2026, 18:30 UTC

Real Sociedad II vs Castellón Segunda División prediction & result

Anoeta, San Sebastian
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Real Sociedad II 0-1 Castellón.

Before kick-off the model made it 24% Real Sociedad II, 28% draw, 48% Castellón — fair odds of 4.17, 3.57 and 2.08.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Castellón at 48%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Real Sociedad II0%Draw3%Castellón97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

7'
⚽O. Camara
Jon Garro
57'
58'
Diego Barri
60'
Adam Jakobsen
🔁D. Diazout: A. Mariezkurrena
66'
66'
🔁A. Jakobsenout: A. Gala
66'
🔁P. Santiagoout: I. Cordoba
🔁I. Calderonout: J. Balda
73'
🔁I. Aguirreout: J. Eceizabarrena
73'
78'
🔁Barriout: M. Doue
78'
🔁R. Sanchezout: H. Bellari
83'
Íñigo Cordoba
🔁G. Carreraout: E. Orobengoa
83'
🔁G. Gorosabelout: J. Soroeta
83'
Unax Agote
86'
87'
🔁Alvaroout: J. Vlak
90+2'
Jari Vlak

Match stats — Real Sociedad II vs Castellón

41%Possession59%
4Shots13
1On target5
5Corners8

Line-ups

Real Sociedad II 4-2-3-1
  • 1A. FragaG
  • 2J. GarroD
  • 15I. CalderonD
  • 5K. KitaD
  • 23U. AgoteD
  • 14T. CarbonellM
  • 8I. AguirreM
  • 7D. DiazM
  • 16G. GorosabelM
  • 17L. AstiazaranM
  • 18G. CarreraF
Substitutes
  • 32L. OlasagastiG
  • 3J. BaldaD
  • 21J. EceizabarrenaM
  • 30A. Unax
  • 26B. IsasaD
  • 31O. TelletxeaM
  • 10A. MariezkurrenaF
  • 9E. OrobengoaF
  • 19J. SoroetaF
Coach: Ion Ansotegi
Castellón 3-4-3
  • 13R. MatthysG
  • 22J. MellotD
  • 5A. JimenezD
  • 4A. SienraD
  • 18P. SantiagoM
  • 21AlvaroM
  • 8BarriM
  • 2Juanjo NietoM
  • 16A. JakobsenF
  • 9O. CamaraF
  • 7R. SanchezF
Substitutes
  • 1A. SaipiG
  • 6M. DoueM
  • 12L. AlcazarD
  • 10I. SueroM
  • 17F. CastilloM
  • 23A. Garcia
  • 27A. GalaM
  • 25J. VlakM
  • 14I. CordobaM
Coach: Pablo Hernandez

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
17Real Sociedad II133371522-712
2Castellón12831235+1827

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Real Sociedad II vs Castellón

  • 7 March 2026Real Sociedad II 4–2 CastellónSegunda División
  • 15 November 2025Castellón 5–4 Real Sociedad IISegunda División
  • 27 May 2023Real Sociedad II 1–1 CastellónPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
  • 17 December 2022Castellón 1–1 Real Sociedad IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 2

Leading scorers: Real Sociedad II and Castellón

Real Sociedad II

No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 15 league goals as a side.

Castellón

GoalsAssists

  • Israel Suero62
  • Ousmane Camara41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Castellón won 1–0 at Real Sociedad II. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Castellón at 48%. The goal: O. Camara 7' for Castellón.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.