15 August 2026, 15:00 UTC

FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC Segunda División prediction & result

Estadi de la FAF, Encamp
Full time5 – 1

Final score: FC Andorra 5-1 AD Ceuta FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% FC Andorra, 27% draw, 33% AD Ceuta FC — fair odds of 2.50, 3.70 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Andorra at 40%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Andorra99%Draw1%AD Ceuta FC0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽J. Canoassist: T. Carrique
33'
H. Solozabal
49'
M. Domenech
52'
⚽T. Carriqueassist: J. Cano
62'
S. Golubovic
67'
67'
🔁Y. Bodigerout: K. Kone
67'
🔁K. Zalazarout: A. Melendez
67'
🔁A. Camachoout: J. Escobar
🔁S. Golubovicout: Quintana Nacho
68'
⚽Quintana Nacho
69'
🔁J. Canoout: A. Calvo
74'
🔁M. Domenechout: S. Molina
74'
78'
🔁C. Teguiaout: A. Osoro
78'
🔁M. Illescasout: K. Mamah
🔁M. Vilaout: A. Lopez
82'
🔁D. Alendeout: L. M. Spatz
82'
⚽Quintana Nachoassist: A. Calvo
84'
87'
⚽J. Escobarassist: K. Kone
90+1'
K. Mamah
⚽A. Calvoassist: E. Akman
90+3'

Match stats — FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC

64%Possession36%
25Shots5
11On target1
2Corners2

Line-ups

FC Andorra 4-3-3
  • 13Pau LópezG
  • 17Thomas CarriqueD
  • 5Marc BombardoD
  • 23Diego AlendeD
  • 20Marti VilaD
  • 8Efe AkmanM
  • 10Marc DomenechM
  • 6Hugo SolozábalM
  • 15Jordi CanoF
  • 27Stefan GolubovicF
  • 29Hugo LópezF
Substitutes
  • 19Nacho QuintanaM
  • 14Sergio MolinaM
  • 7Alex CalvoF
  • 1Kevin RattiG
  • 31Jan LagunasG
  • 3Lautaro SpatzD
  • 2Juan Sebastian SerranoD
  • 18Andoni LópezD
  • 22Aitor UzkudunF
Coach: Carles Manso
AD Ceuta FC 4-3-3
  • 13Guillermo VallejoG
  • 23AnuarD
  • 6Carlos HernándezD
  • 34Daniel Mas SoriaD
  • 3Jose MatosD
  • 8Kuki ZalazarM
  • 14Yann BodigerM
  • 10Marino IllescasM
  • 11Cedric TeguiaF
  • 29Omar SadikF
  • 7Alejandro CamachoF
Substitutes
  • 20Alejandro MeléndezM
  • 9Jordi EscobarF
  • 22Kialy Abdoul KoneF
  • 1Pedro LópezG
  • 18Álex PetxarromanD
  • 36JosemiD
  • 16RedruD
  • 31Adrián RomeroM
  • 24Victor CorralM
Coach: Jose Romero

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
19FC Andorra123271722-511
22AD Ceuta FC1312101030-205

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FC

  • 24 May 2026FC Andorra 0–2 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
  • 4 January 2026AD Ceuta FC 2–1 FC AndorraSegunda División

Leading scorers: FC Andorra and AD Ceuta FC

FC Andorra

GoalsAssists

  • Jordi Cano52

AD Ceuta FC

GoalsAssists

  • Jordi Escobar41
  • Carlos Hernández40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Andorra beat AD Ceuta FC 5–1. The model had made a win for FC Andorra its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: J. Cano 33' for FC Andorra, T. Carrique 62' for FC Andorra, Quintana Nacho 69' for FC Andorra, Quintana Nacho 84' for FC Andorra, J. Escobar 87' for AD Ceuta FC, A. Calvo 90+3' for FC Andorra.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.