15 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Oviedo vs Granada CF Segunda División prediction & result

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Oviedo 0-0 Granada CF.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% Oviedo, 26% draw, 23% Granada CF — fair odds of 1.96, 3.85 and 4.35.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Oviedo at 51%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Oviedo4%Draw93%Granada CF3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

24'
Chinaza Onouha
Youness Lachhab
32'
35'
Sergio López
57'
🔁P. Alemanout: A. Marques
57'
🔁C. Onouhaout: J. Pascual
🔁S. Rodriguezout: J. Cruz
62'
🔁N. Vidalout: A. Ahmed
63'
🔁P. Saenzout: A. Isfan
70'
70'
🔁S. Lopezout: O. Naasei
70'
🔁S. Rodelasout: O. M. Chukwuemeka
78'
🔁J. M. Arnaizout: K. Bamba
🔁Younessout: E. Perez
81'
🔁J. Gonzalezout: V. Mingo
81'
Alexandru Ișfan
83'
90+4'
Rubén Alcaraz

Match stats — Oviedo vs Granada CF

61%Possession39%
9Shots10
3On target3
3Corners2
0.73xG0.65

Goals against chances

Oviedo0 from 0.73 xGless than the chances were worth
Granada CF0 from 0.65 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Oviedo 4-2-3-1
  • 13A. EscandellG
  • 22N. VidalD
  • 4D. CostasD
  • 12D. CalvoD
  • 15S. RodriguezD
  • 10A. ReinaM
  • 5YounessM
  • 20P. SaenzM
  • 6D. VillahermosaM
  • 11J. GonzalezM
  • 9C. RamosF
Substitutes
  • 1M. NarvaezG
  • 3J. CruzD
  • 23C. DominguezD
  • 2A. AhmedM
  • 28D. MenendezM
  • 32E. PerezM
  • 18V. MingoF
  • 24A. IsfanF
Coach: Julian Calero
Granada CF 4-3-3
  • 13R. LizoainG
  • 18S. LopezD
  • 5M. LamaD
  • 35B. DembeleD
  • 22B. DialloD
  • 8P. AlemanM
  • 4R. AlcarazM
  • 6G. GumbauM
  • 26S. RodelasF
  • 19C. OnouhaF
  • 11J. M. ArnaizF
Substitutes
  • 1A. FloresG
  • 28O. NaaseiD
  • 16D. Varela PampinD
  • 3D. HormigoD
  • 30JuanjoD
  • 33A. GarciaD
  • 27M. GambinM
  • 32D. RodriguezM
  • 17K. BambaF
Coach: Pacheta

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Oviedo136341916+321
5Granada CF127232014+623

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Oviedo vs Granada CF

  • 22 March 2025Granada CF 1–0 OviedoSegunda División
  • 14 December 2024Oviedo 2–0 Granada CFSegunda División
  • 26 March 2023Granada CF 1–0 OviedoSegunda División
  • 22 December 2022Oviedo 1–0 Granada CFCopa del Rey
  • 6 November 2022Oviedo 1–0 Granada CFSegunda División
  • 5 May 2019Oviedo 1–1 Granada CFSegunda División

Leading scorers: Oviedo and Granada CF

Oviedo

GoalsAssists

  • Carlos Domínguez50

Granada CF

GoalsAssists

  • Jorge Pascual40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Oviedo and Granada CF drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Oviedo at 51% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.73–0.65.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.