Cadiz vs Celta de Vigo II Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Cadiz 0-0 Celta de Vigo II.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Cadiz, 28% draw, 28% Celta de Vigo II — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Cadiz at 44%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cadiz vs Celta de Vigo II
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13J. EzkietaG
- 27J. Diaz PeregrinaD
- 4J. CastroD
- 31N. UkwuijeD
- 33M. RiveraD
- 18R. KouameM
- 23D. RodriguezM
- 24I. SanchezM
- 11J. de la RosaF
- 19IzetaF
- 16A. CorderoF
- 1D. GilG
- 6I. RecioD
- 14B. KovacevicD
- 2B. de JesusD
- 32R. RosadoD
- 10SusoM
- 5J. GonzalezM
- 28D. A. Zarate HidalgoM
- 15K. ToibibouD
- 1J. B. CarrilloG
- 3K. RibesD
- 6P. MeixusD
- 18J. LopezD
- 2P. GavianM
- 16A. CapdevilaM
- 5H. BurcioM
- 23G. MillerM
- 15A. KibetF
- 11A. ArcosF
- 9A. MarinF
- 13Caio BaroneG
- 25M. GonzalezG
- 14J. OliverasD
- 21A. OlmedoD
- 4S. M. NdiayeD
- 20A. RodriguezD
- 29M. SobralD
- 17H. F. Cuenca MartinezM
- 8A. AntanonM
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Cadiz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Cadiz and Celta de Vigo II
Cadiz
GoalsAssists
- Antonio Cordero52
Celta de Vigo II
GoalsAssists
- A. Marin81
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Cadiz and Celta de Vigo II drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Cadiz at 44% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 1.61–0.63.