Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Real Salt Lake 2-2 Los Angeles FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Real Salt Lake, 29% draw, 32% Los Angeles FC — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Real Salt Lake at 39% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Rafael CabralG
- 26P. QuintonD
- 21J. J. AriasD
- 4L. EngelD
- 98A. KatranisM
- 92N. CaliskanM
- 34L. MoisaM
- 8J. SanabriaM
- 12S. LobjanidzeF
- 22S. SolansF
- 10D. LunaF
- 31M. StajduharG
- 2D. YedlinD
- 3K. HenryD
- 39A. HezarkhaniF
- 25C. GuskeM
- 13J. ShokalookF
- 70Lineker RodriguesF
- 1H. LlorisG
- 33A. LongD
- 91Nkosi TafariD
- 23Y. CheberkoD
- 24R. HollingsheadM
- 66M. ChoiniereM
- 8M. DelgadoM
- 18J. ShaffelburgM
- 19T. BoydF
- 99D. BouangaF
- 7Son Heung-MinF
- 31C. CarterG
- 14S. PalenciaD
- 45K. NielsenD
- 4E. SeguraD
- 22J. TerryM
- 9A. SiebF
- 21R. RaposoM
- 17J. EbobisseF
- 90T. MihalicF
Form going into Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC
Real Salt Lake
- L0-1away to Colorado Rapids30 August 2026
- L1-2away to Orlando City SC22 August 2026
- L3-4FC Dallas20 August 2026
- D1-1Minnesota United FC16 August 2026
- D1-1away to St. Louis City2 August 2026
Los Angeles FC
- D0-0away to DC United29 August 2026
- D1-1Portland Timbers23 August 2026
- L0-1away to Colorado Rapids20 August 2026
- L0-1San Diego16 August 2026
- D1-1away to Vancouver Whitecaps1 August 2026
What these results say
- Real Salt Lake did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Real Salt Lake conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Real Salt Lake scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Los Angeles FC did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Los Angeles FC had two goals or fewer.
- Los Angeles FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 32 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 44 | 31 | +13 | 42 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC
- 23 July 2026Los Angeles FC 3–1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: Real Salt Lake and Los Angeles FC
Real Salt Lake
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 41 league goals as a side.
Los Angeles FC
GoalsAssists
- D. Bouanga155
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.