Real Betis vs Getafe La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Real Betis 1-0 Getafe.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Real Betis, 28% draw, 24% Getafe — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Real Betis at 48% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Real Betis vs Getafe
Line-ups
- 1Álvaro VallésG
- 12Ángel OrtizD
- 4NatanD
- 16V. GómezD
- 23Junior FirpoD
- 18N. DeossaM
- 6F. BernalM
- 7AntonyM
- 22IscoM
- 10A. EzzalzouliM
- 19T. ParrottF
- 25Dani CeballosM
- 2Héctor BellerínD
- 15Álvaro FidalgoM
- 8Pablo FornalsM
- 11Fran GarcíaD
- 31Manu GonzálezG
- 9C. HernándezF
- 20G. Lo CelsoM
- 14Iker LosadaF
- 13David SoriaG
- 21Andrés GarcíaD
- 2D. DakonamD
- 24Z. RomeroD
- 3DavinchiD
- 8N. GudeljM
- 16Francho SerranoM
- 23O. MangalaM
- 6Mario MartínM
- 10M. SatrianoM
- 20Iván AzónF
- 28Alberto RiscoM
- 15S. BoselliD
- 35Diego FerrerG
- 31M. HamdouneD
- 32JoseluF
- 1J. LetáčekG
- 30Óscar LópezM
- 22J. MojicaD
- 4S. SazonovD
Form going into Real Betis vs Getafe
Real Betis
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Villarreal14 September 2026
- W3-2away to Lille8 September 2026
- W1-0Real Madrid4 September 2026
- L2-5away to Levante29 August 2026
- W1-0away to Valencia25 August 2026
Getafe
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Deportivo La Coruna13 September 2026
- D1-1Celta Vigo7 September 2026
- L0-1away to Osasuna31 August 2026
- L1-2away to FK Partizan27 August 2026
- W1-0Racing Santander23 August 2026
What these results say
- Real Betis scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Real Betis won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Getafe failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Getafe scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Getafe conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 20 |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Real Betis vs Getafe
- 8 March 2026Getafe 2–0 Real BetisLa Liga
- 21 December 2025Real Betis 4–0 GetafeLa Liga
- 23 February 2025Getafe 1–2 Real BetisLa Liga
- 18 September 2024Real Betis 2–1 GetafeLa Liga
- 4 February 2024Real Betis 1–1 GetafeLa Liga
The result against the call
Real Betis beat Getafe 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Real Betis at 48%. The goal: Abde Ezzalzouli 45' for Real Betis. Sent off: Mario Martín Rielves (Getafe) 87'.
How the call on Real Betis v Getafe has moved
First published on 3 Sep at 45% / 29% / 26% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 9 updates, it read 48% / 28% / 24%: the biggest move is Real Betis's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Real Betis win48%▲ +3
- Draw28%▼ −1
- Getafe win24%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.