Akron vs Akhmat Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Akron 2-0 Akhmat.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Akron, 28% draw, 33% Akhmat — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Akron at 39% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Akron vs Akhmat
Line-ups
- 88V. GudievG
- 13V. BardybakhinD
- 26João EscovalD
- 19M. BokoevD
- 21R. FernándezD
- 8K. BistrovićM
- 15S. LončarM
- 22K. MaradishviliM
- 11DuduF
- 9S. TedićF
- 7Gilson BenchimolF
- 91M. BoldyrevM
- 10Kevin ArevaloM
- 69A. DmitrievF
- 6K. HovhannisyanM
- 80K. KhosonovM
- 24I. NedelcearuD
- 71D. PestryakovF
- 89D. PopenkovM
- 2Y. RochaD
- 1V. UlyanovG
- 95A. AdamovD
- 6K. SidibéD
- 5K. CakeD
- 8M. BogosavacD
- 18Júlio RomãoM
- 11Ismael Silva LimaM
- 20M. SamorodovM
- 17Egas CacinturaM
- 7L. SadulaevM
- 77G. MelkadzeF
- 81M. SidorovD
- 88G. SheliaG
- 10K. ShchetininM
- 19S. PryakhinM
- 90O. NdongD
- 71R. MitsaevG
- 76E. MaksutiF
- 13M. KonatéF
- 23G. KenzhebekM
Form going into Akron vs Akhmat
Akron
Premier League
- D1-1away to FC Krasnodar13 September 2026
Akhmat
Premier League
- W3-2Dinamo Makhachkala13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Akron | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | Akhmat | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Akron vs Akhmat
- 15 March 2026Akron 1–1 AkhmatPremier League
- 27 September 2025Akhmat 3–0 AkronPremier League
- 11 May 2025Akron 3–2 AkhmatPremier League
- 31 August 2024Akhmat 0–0 AkronPremier League
Leading scorers: Akron and Akhmat
Akron
GoalsAssists
- Gilson Benchimol42
Akhmat
GoalsAssists
- L. Sadulaev33
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Akron beat Akhmat 2–0. The model had made a win for Akron its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Gilson Benchimol 5' for Akron, karlen hovhannisyan 87' for Akron. Sent off: Georgiy Melkadze (Akhmat) 37'.
How the call on Akron v Akhmat has moved
First published on 3 Sep at 34% / 28% / 38% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 39% / 28% / 33%: the biggest move is Akron's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- Akron win39%▲ +5
- Draw28%=
- Akhmat win33%▼ −5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.