17 September 2026, 15:30 UTC

FC Rostov vs Dynamo Premier League prediction & result

Rostov Arena, Rostov
Full time0 – 3

Final score: FC Rostov 0-3 Dynamo.

Before kick-off the model made it 28% FC Rostov, 28% draw, 44% Dynamo — fair odds of 3.57, 3.57 and 2.27. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Dynamo at 44% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Rostov0%Draw1%Dynamo99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

1'
Juan Caceres
8'
Arthur Gomes
David Semenchuk
16'
26'
🔁Juan Caceresout: Nicolas Marichal
35'
⚽Konstantin Tyukavinassist: Yaroslav Gladyshev
45'
🔁Arthur Gomesout: Viktor Okishor
53'
Nicolas Marichal
🔁David Semenchukout: Yaroslav Mikhailov
60'
🔁Maksim Mukhinout: Daniil Shantaliy
67'
69'
🔁Yaroslav Gladyshevout: Daniil Fomin
69'
🔁Luis Chavezout: Maximiliano Gutierrez
78'
⚽Viktor Okishorassist: Daniil Fomin
🔁Olakunle Olusegunout: Daniil Khlusevich
79'
🔁Ronaldoout: Imran Aznaurov
79'
🔁Ivan Komarovout: Anton Shamonin
79'
88'
⚽Konstantin Tyukavin (pen)
90'
🔁Konstantin Tyukavinout: Ivan Sergeev

Match stats — FC Rostov vs Dynamo

40%Possession60%
12Shots12
3On target6
4Corners4

Line-ups

FC Rostov 4-3-3
  • 84A. PetrovG
  • 4V. MelekhinD
  • 3O. SakoD
  • 22D. SemenchukD
  • 87A. LangovichD
  • 10I. KomarovM
  • 27D. ProkhinM
  • 16M. MukhinM
  • 7RonaldoF
  • 99T. SuleymanovF
  • 6O. OlusegunF
Substitutes
  • 78D. ChistyakovD
  • 11Ibraheem AjasaF
  • 34D. GolikovG
  • 26D. KhlusevichD
  • 80K. MadrakhimovF
  • 5Y. MikhaylovM
  • 91Anton ShamoninF
  • 21D. ShantaliyM
  • 13D. TitovM
Coach: Jonatan Alba
Dynamo 4-3-3
  • 99A. LunevG
  • 4J. CáceresD
  • 55M. OsipenkoD
  • 57David RicardoD
  • 8RubensD
  • 24L. ChávezM
  • 15D. GlebovM
  • 10BitelloM
  • 91Y. GladyshevF
  • 70K. TyukavinF
  • 11Arthur GomesF
Substitutes
  • 6R. FernándezD
  • 74D. FominM
  • 28M. GutiérrezF
  • 31I. LeshchukG
  • 2N. MarichalD
  • 60T. MarinkinM
  • 88V. OkishorM
  • 1K. RasulovG
  • 33I. SergeevF
Coach: S. Schwarz

Form going into FC Rostov vs Dynamo

FC Rostov

Premier League

  • L0-3away to Spartak Moscow13 September 2026

Dynamo

Premier League

  • W1-0FC Orenburg12 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7FC Rostov124351317-415
2Dynamo128131912+725

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Rostov vs Dynamo

  • 14 March 2026FC Rostov 0–1 DynamoPremier League
  • 26 July 2025Dynamo 1–0 FC RostovPremier League
  • 2 March 2025FC Rostov 1–1 DynamoPremier League
  • 1 November 2024Dynamo 1–1 FC RostovPremier League
  • 29 March 2024Dinamo Moscow 1–4 FC RostovPremier League

Leading scorers: FC Rostov and Dynamo

FC Rostov

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.

Dynamo

GoalsAssists

  • K. Tyukavin51
  • V. Okishor32

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Dynamo won 3–0 at FC Rostov. The model had made a win for Dynamo its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Konstantin Tyukavin 35' for Dynamo, Viktor Okishor 78' for Dynamo, Konstantin Tyukavin (penalty) 88' for Dynamo.

How the call on FC Rostov v Dynamo has moved

First published on 3 Sep at 35% / 32% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 9 updates, it read 28% / 28% / 44%: the biggest move is Dynamo's chance of winning, up 11 points.

  1. FC Rostov win28%▼ −7
  2. Draw28%▼ −4
  3. Dynamo win44%▲ +11

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.