12 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Rapid Vienna vs Paide UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Allianz Stadion, Vienna
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Rapid Vienna 2-0 Paide.

Before kick-off the model made it 61% Rapid Vienna, 21% draw, 18% Paide — fair odds of 1.64, 4.76 and 5.56.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Paide 1–4 Rapid Vienna (6 Aug) →

Rapid Vienna went through 6–1 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Rapid Vienna at 61%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Rapid Vienna99%Draw1%Paide0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Jakob Schöller
37'
•Marco Tilio
38'
⚽M. Tilioassist: N. Wurmbrand
38'
46'
🔁M. Millerout: R. Smirnov
🔁M. Tilioout: T. Adamsen
63'
🔁M. Haidaraout: P. Dahl
63'
🔁R. Amaneout: N. Bajlicz
63'
68'
🔁M. P. Sohnaout: H. Ojamaa
68'
🔁H. Ojamaaout: E. Tur
Louis Schaub
74'
🔁J. M. Schollerout: S. Raux-Yao
74'
•Nikolaus Wurmbrand
79'
81'
Henri Anier
⚽L. Schaub (pen)
82'
🔁L. Schaubout: M. Seidl
84'
84'
🔁D. Lutsout: P. A. Cham
84'
🔁H. Anierout: K. Piht

Match stats — Rapid Vienna vs Paide

65%Possession35%
23Shots2
7On target1
5Corners1

Line-ups

Rapid Vienna 4-4-2
  • 1N. HedlG
  • 2E. RokaD
  • 55N. CvetkovicD
  • 4J. M. SchollerD
  • 23J. AuerD
  • 15N. WurmbrandM
  • 29R. AmaneM
  • 21L. SchaubM
  • 43M. HaidaraM
  • 7M. TilioF
  • 17T. GulliksenF
Substitutes
  • 25P. GartlerG
  • 50L. OrglerG
  • 22Y. DemirF
  • 8T. AdamsenF
  • 10P. DahlF
  • 61F. DemirD
  • 38J. HornD
  • 77B. BollaD
  • 9E. KaraF
Coach: Johannes Thorup
Paide 4-3-3
  • 99E. JarjuG
  • 15H. OjamaaD
  • 27N. BaranovD
  • 3Victor HugoD
  • 2M. LilanderD
  • 11M. P. Sohna
  • 28O. HoimM
  • 10M. MillerM
  • 77D. LutsF
  • 9H. AnierF
  • 6Daniel CabralF
Substitutes
  • 12M. MeeritsG
  • 8H. OjamaaM
  • 19S. LutsF
  • 7E. TurD
  • 44K. KaitD
  • 16A. SuroginM
  • 30A. BadamosiF
  • 17P. A. ChamM
  • 20K. PihtF
Coach: Tarmo Kink

Form going into Rapid Vienna vs Paide

Rapid Vienna

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to Ried9 August 2026
  • W4-1away to Paide6 August 2026
  • W1-0SCR Altach2 August 2026
  • W6-2FC Santa Coloma29 July 2026
  • W3-1away to FC Santa Coloma23 July 2026

Paide

All competitions we cover

  • L1-4Rapid Vienna6 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Zira30 July 2026
  • W1-0Zira23 July 2026

What these results say

  • Rapid Vienna won every one of these 5 matches.
  • Rapid Vienna scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Rapid Vienna conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Rapid Vienna vs Paide

  • 6 August 2026Paide 1–4 Rapid ViennaUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: Rapid Vienna and Paide

Rapid Vienna

GoalsAssists

  • E. Kara71
  • P. Dahl71
  • T. Adamsen55

Paide

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Rapid Vienna beat Paide 2–0. The model had made a win for Rapid Vienna its most likely outcome, at 61%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: M. Tilio 38' for Rapid Vienna, L. Schaub (penalty) 82' for Rapid Vienna.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.