Panathinaikos vs Hradec Králové UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Panathinaikos 2-2 Hradec Králové.
Before kick-off the model made it 15% Panathinaikos, 19% draw, 66% Hradec Králové — fair odds of 6.67, 5.26 and 1.52. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hradec Králové at 66% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 277 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Panathinaikos vs Hradec Králové
Line-ups
- 1I. PenaG
- 19T. TsaprasD
- 6S. de VrijD
- 55R. Van DrongelenD
- 77G. KyriakopoulosD
- 20V. TabordaF
- 22E. CamaraM
- 4P. ChirivellaM
- 10S. AndinoM
- 99L. GarciaF
- 7A. Tetteh
- 3G. Katris
- 5A. ToubaD
- 8A. JagusicM
- 9C. DessersF
- 12L. ChavesG
- 14E. Palmer-BrownD
- 16A. Gnezda CerinM
- 18S. KontourisM
- 28F. PellistriM
- 12A. ZadrazilG
- 7J. UhrincatD
- 5F. CihakD
- 25F. CechD
- 2D. LudvicekD
- 16V. DaridaM
- 11S. DancakM
- 26D. HorakM
- 10M. van BurenF
- 17O. MihalikF
- 19T. SloncikF
- 1P. VizekG
- 3F. MielkeD
- 6E. NetoM
- 9M. ValentaM
- 14J. HodekF
- 20M. VagnerG
- 24A. UmarF
- 27D. TrubacM
- 58A. VlkanovaF
Form going into Panathinaikos vs Hradec Králové
Panathinaikos
- W2-1away to CSKA 194811 August 2026
- D1-1CSKA 19485 August 2026
- D2-2Paks30 July 2026
- W2-1away to Paks23 July 2026
Hradec Králové
- L0-1away to Beşiktaş13 August 2026
- W2-1Baník Ostrava9 August 2026
- L0-1Beşiktaş6 August 2026
- D0-0away to Bohemians 19052 August 2026
- W3-1Tromso30 July 2026
What these results say
- Panathinaikos went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Panathinaikos scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Panathinaikos conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Hradec Králové conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Panathinaikos and Hradec Králové in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | Super League 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | +10 | 15 |
| 9 | Hradec Králové | Czech Liga | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Super League 1 · Czech Liga
Leading scorers: Panathinaikos and Hradec Králové
Panathinaikos
- V. Taborda3 goals1 assist
- A. Tetteh3 goals
Hradec Králové
- T. Slončík3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.