FC Nordsjaelland vs FC St. Gallen UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 FC St. Gallen.
Before kick-off the model made it 68% FC Nordsjaelland, 15% draw, 17% FC St. Gallen — fair odds of 1.47, 6.67 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Nordsjaelland at 68% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 277 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Nordsjaelland vs FC St. Gallen
Line-ups
- 13A. HansenG
- 2P. AnkersenD
- 3T. SalquistD
- 15S. AcquahD
- 23R. NorheimM
- 18J. JanssenM
- 8N. RojkjaerM
- 25J. LahteenmakiM
- 37L. SadioF
- 14I. AdelF
- 10P. AmoakoF
- 31A. SondenbroeG
- 22C. ErikssonG
- 32V. GustafsenD
- 42M. TukaD
- 35V. RutkjaerD
- 4N. MarkmannD
- 28M. WalkerD
- 6M. BrinkM
- 11A. LindF
- 1L. Ati ZigiG
- 74J. RuizD
- 4J. StanicD
- 36C. OkorojiD
- 10L. DaschnerM
- 28H. VandermerschM
- 16L. GortlerM
- 20L. Frokaj
- 64M. StevanovicM
- 14A. BaldeF
- 9A. HunzikerF
- 35B. DumrathG
- 25L. WatkowiakG
- 3C. Kleine-BekelD
- 68M. Heydari
- 23B. FazlijiM
- 7C. WitzigM
- 63C. KonietzkeM
- 47E. OwusuM
- 21M. EfekeleF
Form going into FC Nordsjaelland vs FC St. Gallen
FC Nordsjaelland
- W1-0Silkeborg16 August 2026
- W5-0Valur Reykjavik13 August 2026
- W2-0away to Valur Reykjavik6 August 2026
- W1-0Randers FC2 August 2026
- W6-0Gais30 July 2026
FC St. Gallen
- W5-1Sheriff Tiraspol13 August 2026
- D2-2FC Luzern9 August 2026
- W3-1away to Sheriff Tiraspol6 August 2026
- W3-2away to FC Vaduz2 August 2026
- L0-5away to Benfica30 July 2026
What these results say
- FC Nordsjaelland won every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Nordsjaelland scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Nordsjaelland kept a clean sheet in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC St. Gallen conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for FC St. Gallen had three goals or more.
- FC St. Gallen scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
FC Nordsjaelland and FC St. Gallen in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 | FC St. Gallen | Super League | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Superliga · Super League
Leading scorers: FC Nordsjaelland and FC St. Gallen
FC Nordsjaelland
- A. Lind3 goals1 assist
- H. Boe Rasmussen3 goals1 assist
FC St. Gallen
- A. Balde3 goals1 assist
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.