Macva
vs
Vojvodina
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Macva 0–2 Vojvodina
The model makes it 19% Macva, 24% draw, 57% Vojvodina — fair odds of 5.26, 4.17 and 1.75.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2 (10%).
Expected goals: Macva 0.96, Vojvodina 2.03.
Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
One-sided: Vojvodina are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Macva's rating is built from 15 Serbian SuperLiga matches and Vojvodina's from 52, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 700 matches.
Key facts
- Macva are 11th on 13 points from 15 games; Vojvodina are 2nd on 32 points from 15 games — Super Liga.
- Macva have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win away to FK Partizan.
- Vojvodina have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to FK Crvena Zvezda.
- Last 6 meetings: Vojvodina 5 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 3 August 2026, ended Vojvodina 2–0 Macva.
More Serbian SuperLiga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Macva vs Vojvodina
Has the model earned this number?
Vojvodina at 57%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Macva vs Vojvodina
Macva
Super Liga
- W2-1away to FK Partizan8 November 2026
- L2-4FK Crvena Zvezda31 October 2026
- L0-1away to Zemun23 October 2026
- D1-1OFK Beograd17 October 2026
- D2-2away to Cukaricki10 October 2026
Vojvodina
Super Liga
- L0-1FK Crvena Zvezda8 November 2026
- W2-0away to OFK Beograd1 November 2026
- D1-1away to Mladost Lucani24 October 2026
- W2-0Radnicki 192317 October 2026
- W4-1away to Radnicki NIS11 October 2026
What these results say
- Macva conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Macva failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Macva scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Vojvodina scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Vojvodina had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serbia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Macva | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 13 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 13 | +17 | 32 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Macva
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 44% today
From our Super Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Macva vs Vojvodina
- 3 August 2026Vojvodina 2–0 MacvaSuper Liga
- 9 May 2021Macva 2–5 VojvodinaSuper Liga
- 5 December 2020Vojvodina 1–0 MacvaSuper Liga
- 9 November 2019Macva 0–1 VojvodinaSuper Liga
- 20 July 2019Vojvodina 3–1 MacvaSuper Liga
- 5 December 2018Vojvodina 1–1 MacvaSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Macva and Vojvodina
Macva
GoalsAssists
- M. Vidakov40
Vojvodina
GoalsAssists
- D. Zukić81
- N. Mulahusejnović44
- L. Ranđelović37
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Macva a 0% chance of the title and Vojvodina 0.4%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How the call on Macva v Vojvodina has moved
First published on 7 Nov at 17% / 22% / 61% (home / draw / away). After 1 update it reads 19% / 24% / 57%: the biggest move is Vojvodina's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Macva win19%▲ +2
- Draw24%▲ +2
- Vojvodina win57%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Vojvodina the highest probability at 57%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.96 expected goals for Macva against 2.03 for Vojvodina. Macva's attack/defence rating is 0.47/2.02 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.78/1.29 for Vojvodina.
How the model reaches 57% for Vojvodina to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Vojvodina to win. Then home advantage takes away 5 points, Macva's ratings add 12 points and Vojvodina's ratings add 14 points, which lands on the published 57%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage31%−5
- Macva's ratings43%+12
- Vojvodina's ratings57%+14
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Macva at home · Vojvodina away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Macva 15, Vojvodina 15.
Macva score most often in the 31–45 minute window (5 goals); Vojvodina have let in 0 there.
Vojvodina score most often in the 46–60 minute window (7 goals); Macva have let in 3 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Macva
- at IMT Novi Beograd28 Nov · Super Ligawin 21%
- vs Radnik Surdulica6 Dec · Super Ligawin 32%
- at Radnicki NIS6 Feb · Super Ligawin 33%
- vs Novi Pazar13 Feb · Super Ligawin 35%
- at Radnicki 192320 Feb · Super Ligawin 22%
Vojvodina
- at Radnik Surdulica28 Nov · Super Ligawin 47%
- vs Novi Pazar6 Dec · Super Ligawin 61%
- at Železničar Pančevo6 Feb · Super Ligawin 35%
- vs Cukaricki13 Feb · Super Ligawin 59%
- at Zemun20 Feb · Super Ligawin 68%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.