QPR vs Preston Championship prediction & result
Final score: QPR 2-2 Preston.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% QPR, 28% draw, 28% Preston — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts QPR at 44% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — QPR vs Preston
Line-ups
- 1P. CharlesG
- 27A. MbengueD
- 3J. DunneD
- 5R. EdwardsD
- 19D. CirkinD
- 40J. VaraneM
- 18G. KamaraM
- 24N. MadsenM
- 17K. PokuM
- 33Leon ScarlettF
- 16R. BurrellF
- 20H. ValeM
- 2K. AdamsonD
- 23I. AlemayehuM
- 6J. Clarke-SalterD
- 15A. LloydF
- 4L. MorrisonD
- 14K. SaitoF
- 11P. SmythF
- 13C. WardG
- 1D. IversenG
- 17S. MillsD
- 4H. ClarkeD
- 14J. StoreyD
- 16A. HughesD
- 3A. VukčevićD
- 27L. LeroyM
- 15J. ThompsonM
- 7A. DevineM
- 10C. LangF
- 38J. KennyF
- 9J. ErabiF
- 20L. GibbsM
- 6L. LindsayD
- 23A. MoranM
- 21L. NichollsG
- 24O. OffiahD
- 11T. SmallD
- 2Pol ValentínD
- 37D. BurgzorgF
Form going into QPR vs Preston
QPR
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to West Brom12 September 2026
- D0-0away to Charlton9 September 2026
- L0-1Middlesbrough5 September 2026
- W2-1Cardiff2 September 2026
- W2-1away to Blackburn29 August 2026
Preston
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Lincoln12 September 2026
- L1-2away to Watford8 September 2026
- W2-1Blackburn5 September 2026
- L1-3Bristol City1 September 2026
- L0-1away to Charlton29 August 2026
What these results say
- QPR conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Preston conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Preston failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 12 | +8 | 20 |
| 24 | Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: QPR vs Preston
- 6 April 2026Preston 1–1 QPRChampionship
- 9 August 2025QPR 1–1 PrestonChampionship
- 18 April 2025Preston 1–2 QPRChampionship
- 21 December 2024QPR 2–1 PrestonChampionship
- 20 April 2024QPR 1–0 PrestonChampionship
The result against the call
QPR and Preston drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for QPR at 44% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Johnny Kenny 1' for Preston, Johnny Kenny 26' for Preston, Kwame Poku 66' for QPR, Paul Smyth 90' for QPR. Sent off: Dennis Cirkin (QPR) 15'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.