Portsmouth vs Blackburn Championship prediction & result
Final score: Portsmouth 2-2 Blackburn.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Portsmouth, 28% draw, 30% Blackburn — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Portsmouth at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Portsmouth vs Blackburn
Line-ups
- 31D. BielicaG
- 22Z. SwansonD
- 55M. DiaD
- 6C. ShaughnessyD
- 16J. MeghomaD
- 7M. PackM
- 19R. SheinM
- 11A. KamaraM
- 10A. SegecicM
- 25R. Kavuma McQueenM
- 17T. ShadeF
- 38E. AdamsM
- 27O. BaileyM
- 9C. BishopF
- 24T. DevlinM
- 32E. KennyM
- 37I. MohamedM
- 5R. PooleD
- 1N. SchmidG
- 8J. SwiftM
- 22B. TóthG
- 2R. AlebiosuD
- 6Tom AtchesonD
- 17H. CarterD
- 15S. McLoughlinD
- 3H. PickeringD
- 25R. MorishitaM
- 8Sam MorsyM
- 31Kristi MontgomeryM
- 21O. AfolayanM
- 10T. CantwellF
- 24M. BaradjiM
- 27Gady BeyukuD
- 14D. De NeveM
- 11J. FevrierF
- 30J. GarrettM
- 9A. GuðjohnsenF
- 42Harry ListerM
- 1A. PearsG
- 39H. PatesD
Form going into Portsmouth vs Blackburn
Portsmouth
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Charlton12 September 2026
- W2-0Cardiff5 September 2026
- L0-2Derby1 September 2026
- L1-2away to Bristol City29 August 2026
- W3-1away to Lincoln22 August 2026
Blackburn
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Millwall12 September 2026
- L1-2Sheffield Utd8 September 2026
- L1-2away to Preston5 September 2026
- D0-0away to Lincoln1 September 2026
- L1-2QPR29 August 2026
What these results say
- Blackburn failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Blackburn scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Blackburn conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 18 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Portsmouth vs Blackburn
- 7 March 2026Blackburn 1–1 PortsmouthChampionship
- 13 December 2025Portsmouth 2–1 BlackburnChampionship
- 29 March 2025Portsmouth 1–0 BlackburnChampionship
- 15 January 2025Blackburn 3–0 PortsmouthChampionship
- 13 February 2018Portsmouth 1–2 BlackburnLeague One
Leading scorers: Portsmouth and Blackburn
Portsmouth
No player in Championship's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Blackburn
GoalsAssists
- A. Guðjohnsen81
- O. Afolayan42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Portsmouth and Blackburn drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Portsmouth at 42% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Zak Swanson 4' for Portsmouth, Oladapo Afolayan 11' for Blackburn, Ryoya Morishita 56' for Blackburn, Colby·Bishop 74' for Portsmouth.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often Portsmouth's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) and Blackburn's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.