19 September 2026, 14:30 UTC

CFR 1907 Cluj vs FC Botosani Liga I prediction & result

Cluj-Napoca
Full time3 – 1

Final score: CFR 1907 Cluj 3-1 FC Botosani.

Before kick-off the model made it 29% CFR 1907 Cluj, 28% draw, 43% FC Botosani — fair odds of 3.45, 3.57 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Botosani at 43% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

CFR 1907 Cluj99%Draw1%FC Botosani0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

7'
•Razvan Cret
9'
Razvan Cret
⚽Lorenzo Bilibocassist: Mário Camora
24'
⚽Stefan Dražićassist: Andrei Cordea
29'
Iva Gelashvili
34'
36'
Marius Croitoru
47'
Pape Djibril Diaw
58'
🔁Ştefan Bodişteanuout: Mykola Kovtalyuk
🔁Lorenzo Bilibocout: Andres Emil Sfait
64'
🔁Ervin Omicout: Adi Nalić
64'
67'
🔁Andrei Dumiterout: Jovan Marković
67'
🔁Gabriel Gamaout: Alexandru Șuchianu
68'
⚽Mykola Kovtalyukassist: Hervin Ongenda
68'
•Mykola Kovtalyuk
🔁Stefan Dražićout: Sergiu Buş
74'
⚽Sergiu Buş
77'
🔁Andrei Cordeaout: Billel Omrani
82'
86'
🔁Charles Petroout: George Sorodoc

Match stats — CFR 1907 Cluj vs FC Botosani

56%Possession44%
23Shots10
10On target2
6Corners1

Line-ups

CFR 1907 Cluj 3-4-2-1
  • 31O. VâlceanuG
  • 21C. IgnatD
  • 3I. GelashviliD
  • 14Simão RochaD
  • 47C. BraunM
  • 6O. PerianuM
  • 18E. OmićM
  • 45M. CamoraM
  • 11A. CordeaM
  • 17L. BilibocM
  • 9S. DražićF
Substitutes
  • 1R. GalG
  • 96Á. TordaiG
  • 86V. KunM
  • 20A. ȚîrleaD
  • 42R. PantalonD
  • 7A. NalićM
  • 77A. SfaitM
  • 29B. OmraniF
  • 26R. GligorM
Coach: M. Şumudică
FC Botosani 4-3-3
  • 99G. AnestisG
  • 2B. BayeyeD
  • 4A. MironD
  • 23D. DiawD
  • 5R. CreţD
  • 21Lucas de VegaM
  • 3C. PetroM
  • 26H. OngendaM
  • 77Gama GabrielF
  • 41A. DumiterF
  • 10Ș. BodișteanuF
Substitutes
  • 22M. KovtalyukF
  • 9J. MarkovićF
  • 37M. BordeianuM
  • 8R. IdowuM
  • 14George SorodocM
  • 44R. SadikuD
  • 30A. ȚigănașuD
  • 27Ionuț Cristian GurăuG
  • 90Mario PredaF
Coach: M. Croitoru

Form going into CFR 1907 Cluj vs FC Botosani

CFR 1907 Cluj

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe12 September 2026
  • D0-0Farul Constanta4 September 2026
  • W3-2away to Csikszereda29 August 2026
  • W1-0FCSB23 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Corvinul Hunedoara16 August 2026

FC Botosani

Liga I

  • D1-1away to Arges Pitesti13 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9CFR 1907 Cluj135261920-117
11FC Botosani133551717014

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: CFR 1907 Cluj vs FC Botosani

  • 19 December 2025FC Botosani 0–1 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
  • 17 August 2025CFR 1907 Cluj 3–3 FC BotosaniLiga I
  • 19 January 2025FC Botosani 1–1 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
  • 25 August 2024CFR 1907 Cluj 3–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
  • 21 January 2024FC Botosani 1–0 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I

Leading scorers: CFR 1907 Cluj and FC Botosani

CFR 1907 Cluj

GoalsAssists

  • A. Cordea62
  • S. Dražić61

FC Botosani

GoalsAssists

  • A. Dumiter70

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

CFR 1907 Cluj beat FC Botosani 3–1. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Botosani at 43% and given a win for CFR 1907 Cluj 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Lorenzo Biliboc 24' for CFR 1907 Cluj, Stefan Dražić 29' for CFR 1907 Cluj, Mykola Kovtalyuk 68' for FC Botosani, Sergiu Buş 77' for CFR 1907 Cluj. Sent off: Razvan Cret (FC Botosani) 9'.

How the call on CFR 1907 Cluj v FC Botosani has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 36% / 31% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 13 updates, it read 29% / 28% / 43%: the biggest move is FC Botosani's chance of winning, up 10 points.

  1. CFR 1907 Cluj win29%▼ −7
  2. Draw28%▼ −3
  3. FC Botosani win43%▲ +10

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.