CFR 1907 Cluj
vs
FC Botosani
Liga I prediction
Our model says: CFR 1907 Cluj 1–2 FC Botosani
The model makes it 28% CFR 1907 Cluj, 27% draw, 45% FC Botosani — fair odds of 3.57, 3.70 and 2.22. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: CFR 1907 Cluj 1.29, FC Botosani 1.94.
Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, under 2.5: 37%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: CFR 1907 Cluj vs FC Botosani
Every scoreline the model considered
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell is one exact result, shaded against the likeliest one; figures below 1% are left blank rather than rounded to zero. Blue cells are CFR 1907 Cluj wins, grey are draws, red are FC Botosani wins — the three shaded areas ARE the 1/X/2 split above, which is the sum of the cells in each. The most likely scoreline is simply the darkest cell inside whichever area the model favours.
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Botosani at 45% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into CFR 1907 Cluj vs FC Botosani
CFR 1907 Cluj
- L1-3away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe12 September 2026
- D0-0Farul Constanta4 September 2026
- W3-2away to Csikszereda29 August 2026
- W1-0FCSB23 August 2026
- L0-3away to Corvinul Hunedoara16 August 2026
FC Botosani
- D1-1away to Arges Pitesti13 September 2026
- W5-0Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe5 September 2026
- D0-0away to Farul Constanta30 August 2026
- W1-0Csikszereda24 August 2026
- L2-3away to FCSB17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | FC Botosani | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: CFR 1907 Cluj vs FC Botosani
- 19 December 2025FC Botosani 0–1 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
- 17 August 2025CFR 1907 Cluj 3–3 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 19 January 2025FC Botosani 1–1 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
- 25 August 2024CFR 1907 Cluj 3–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 21 January 2024FC Botosani 1–0 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
- 26 August 2023CFR 1907 Cluj 3–1 FC BotosaniLiga I
Leading scorers: CFR 1907 Cluj and FC Botosani
CFR 1907 Cluj
- A. Cordea5 goals
- S. Dražić4 goals1 assists
FC Botosani
- A. Dumiter6 goals
- S. Mailat3 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
CFR 1907 Cluj carry a model rating of 6.09 against 6.43 for FC Botosani. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.29 goals for CFR 1907 Cluj and 1.94 for FC Botosani. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
CFR 1907 Cluj rate 0.58 in attack and 2.78 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FC Botosani rate 0.58 and 1.37.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives CFR 1907 Cluj a 0% chance of the title and FC Botosani 2.4%, from 10000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Botosani the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.29 expected goals for CFR 1907 Cluj against 1.94 for FC Botosani. CFR 1907 Cluj's attack/defence rating is 0.58/2.78 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.58/1.37 for FC Botosani.