Al-Duhail SC
vs
Al Shahaniya
Stars League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Duhail SC 1-1 Al Shahaniya.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Al-Duhail SC, 26% draw, 23% Al Shahaniya — fair odds of 1.96, 3.85 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Expected goals: Al-Duhail SC 2.05, Al Shahaniya 0.99.
Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, under 2.5: 41%.
Model confidence: High.
Published · updated
Model insights: Al-Duhail SC vs Al Shahaniya
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al-Duhail SC at 51% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Al-Duhail SC vs Al Shahaniya
Al-Duhail SC
- D1-1away to Al-Rayyan SC5 September 2026
- D1-1Al-Arabi SC29 August 2026
- W2-0Al-Sailiya22 August 2026
Al Shahaniya
- L2-4away to Al Shamal4 September 2026
- W3-2Al-Sailiya29 August 2026
- L1-2away to Al-Gharafa21 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Al-Duhail SC | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 7 | Al Shahaniya | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Duhail SC and Al Shahaniya
Al-Duhail SC
- Tahsin Jamshid1 goals
Al Shahaniya
- F. Antonucci3 goals2 assists
- A. Traoré2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Written before kick-off and left as it stood — the reading below is the model's pre-match case, not a view formed after the result.
The two sides
Al-Duhail SC carry a model rating of 6.5 against 6.29 for Al Shahaniya. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 2.05 goals for Al-Duhail SC and 0.99 for Al Shahaniya. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Al-Duhail SC rate 0.72 in attack and 1.44 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Al Shahaniya rate 0.57 and 1.75.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Al-Duhail SC the highest probability at 51%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.05 expected goals for Al-Duhail SC against 0.99 for Al Shahaniya. Al-Duhail SC's attack/defence rating is 0.72/1.44 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.57/1.75 for Al Shahaniya.