Al-Duhail SC vs Al Shahaniya Stars League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Duhail SC 1-1 Al Shahaniya.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Al-Duhail SC, 26% draw, 23% Al Shahaniya — fair odds of 1.96, 3.85 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al-Duhail SC at 51% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Duhail SC vs Al Shahaniya
Line-ups
- 1Salah ZakariaG
- 22I. BambaD
- 3Lucas TutaD
- 21J. CastellettoD
- 30A. DoumbouyaD
- 23Assim MadiboM
- 6M. VerrattiM
- 8Mubarak Shanan HamzaM
- 24B. SoumaréM
- 19Almoez AliM
- 7S. YansanéF
- 94Awad Ashraf Awad OsmanG
- 26Fahad BakerG
- 97A. BelmadiF
- 36Adam Riyad FraikhM
- 87Malik Majed HassanM
- 11Tahsin JamshidF
- 76Y. A. El AjamiF
- 44Omar Gamal GadF
- 74Hamada Mosabah GhazyD
- 99Shehab EllethyG
- 2A. MohamedD
- 31Z. ŠarlijaD
- 5MuniesaD
- 19Abdulla Al SulaitiD
- 21Mohamed SuragM
- 27I. DialloM
- 6Álvaro SanzM
- 11Jawad El JemiliM
- 9A. TraoréF
- 10F. AntonucciF
- 4Mohamed SayyarM
- 88Moameen MutasemM
- 32Khalid MuftahD
- 16Mohamed AbdallahG
- 77Yousef Hani BallanD
- 7A. MussedF
- 23Mohamed SaeedG
- 18A. Al SulimaneM
- 3Bahaa EllithiD
Form going into Al-Duhail SC vs Al Shahaniya
Al-Duhail SC
Stars League
- D1-1away to Al-Rayyan SC5 September 2026
Al Shahaniya
Stars League
- L2-4away to Al Shamal4 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al-Duhail SC | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 15 |
| 8 | Al Shahaniya | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al-Duhail SC and Al Shahaniya
Al-Duhail SC
GoalsAssists
- Almoez Ali30
Al Shahaniya
GoalsAssists
- F. Antonucci32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Duhail SC and Al Shahaniya drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Al-Duhail SC at 51% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Jawad El Jemili 62' for Al Shahaniya, Boubakary Soumaré 90+6' for Al-Duhail SC.
How the call on Al-Duhail SC v Al Shahaniya has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 43% / 30% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 51% / 26% / 23%: the biggest move is Al-Duhail SC's chance of winning, up 8 points.
- Al-Duhail SC win51%▲ +8
- Draw26%▼ −4
- Al Shahaniya win23%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.