23 July 2026, 18:30 UTC

FC Lugano vs Dukagjini UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Cornaredo, Lugano
Full time1 – 0

Final score: FC Lugano 1-0 Dukagjini.

Before kick-off the model made it 64% FC Lugano, 19% draw, 17% Dukagjini — fair odds of 1.56, 5.26 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Lugano at 64% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Kevin Behrens
-5'
Mattia Zanotti
21'
⚽R. Steffenassist: K. Behrens
31'
46'
🔁I. Zulfiuout: G. Elezaj
49'
Elton Basriu
🔁E. Alioskiout: D. Moncada
69'
69'
🔁A. Merlakuout: M. Maliqi
80'
Granit Elezaj
🔁K. Behrensout: J. Bichsel
80'
🔁D. Dos Santosout: A. Kendouci
80'
81'
🔁K. Gashiout: A. Rexhaj
88'
Arvanit Rexhaj
🔁Y. Cimignaniout: E. Pihlstrom
89'
89'
🔁J. Stevensonout: A. Bytyqi

Match stats — FC Lugano vs Dukagjini

72%Possession28%
24Shots12
7On target3
7Corners3

Line-ups

FC Lugano 3-4-2-1
  • 16David von BallmoosG
  • 46Mattia ZanottiD
  • 17Lars Lukas MaiD
  • 6Antonios PapadopoulosD
  • 21Yanis CimignaniM
  • 25Uran BislimiM
  • 8Anto GrgićM
  • 7Ezgjan AlioskiM
  • 11Renato SteffenF
  • 27Daniel Dos SantosF
  • 91Kevin BehrensF
Substitutes
  • 30Dereck MoncadaF
  • 18Joel BichselD
  • 14Ahmed KendouciM
  • 24Elias PihlströmF
  • 28Felix GebhardtG
  • 39Ahmadou NdiayeG
  • 4Damian KelvinD
  • 22Beckham CastroF
  • 23Gjan AjdinM
Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti
Dukagjini 4-4-2
  • 1Egzon LekajG
  • 77Vitor HugoD
  • 5Elton BasriuD
  • 14Egzon SinaniD
  • 44Tun BardhokuD
  • 23Iljasa ZulfiuM
  • 47Dienit IsufiM
  • 8Kushtrim GashiM
  • 10Altin MerlakuM
  • 17Mergim PefqeliF
  • 99Jeudi StevensonF
Substitutes
  • 7Granit ElezajF
  • 98Meris MaliqiF
  • 6Arvanit RexhajM
  • 22Arbër BytyqiD
  • 16Kenan HaxhihamzaG
  • 2Denis HyseniD
  • 3Melos ZenunajD
  • 33LuanD
  • 27Valentin HotiM
Coach: A. Dallku

Head-to-head: FC Lugano vs Dukagjini

  • 23 July 2026FC Lugano 0–0 DukagjiniUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: FC Lugano and Dukagjini

FC Lugano

  • D. Moncada3 goals1 assists
  • Y. Cimignani3 goals

Dukagjini

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.