FC Lugano vs Dukagjini UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: FC Lugano 1-0 Dukagjini.
Before kick-off the model made it 64% FC Lugano, 19% draw, 17% Dukagjini — fair odds of 1.56, 5.26 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Dukagjini v FC Lugano, 29 Jul →
FC Lugano went through 6–1 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Lugano at 64% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Lugano vs Dukagjini
Line-ups
- 16David von BallmoosG
- 46Mattia ZanottiD
- 17Lars Lukas MaiD
- 6Antonios PapadopoulosD
- 21Yanis CimignaniM
- 25Uran BislimiM
- 8Anto GrgićM
- 7Ezgjan AlioskiM
- 11Renato SteffenF
- 27Daniel Dos SantosF
- 91Kevin BehrensF
- 30Dereck MoncadaF
- 18Joel BichselD
- 14Ahmed KendouciM
- 24Elias PihlströmF
- 28Felix GebhardtG
- 39Ahmadou NdiayeG
- 4Damian KelvinD
- 22Beckham CastroF
- 23Gjan AjdinM
- 1Egzon LekajG
- 77Vitor HugoD
- 5Elton BasriuD
- 14Egzon SinaniD
- 44Tun BardhokuD
- 23Iljasa ZulfiuM
- 47Dienit IsufiM
- 8Kushtrim GashiM
- 10Altin MerlakuM
- 17Mergim PefqeliF
- 99Jeudi StevensonF
- 7Granit ElezajF
- 98Meris MaliqiF
- 6Arvanit RexhajM
- 22Arbër BytyqiD
- 16Kenan HaxhihamzaG
- 2Denis HyseniD
- 3Melos ZenunajD
- 33LuanD
- 27Valentin HotiM
Leading scorers: FC Lugano and Dukagjini
FC Lugano
GoalsAssists
- K. Behrens71
- A. Ajeti30
Dukagjini
No leading scorers listed yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Lugano beat Dukagjini 1–0. The model had made a win for FC Lugano its most likely outcome, at 64%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: R. Steffen 31' for FC Lugano. Sent off: Arvanit Rexhaj (Dukagjini) 88'.