Pisa vs Virtus Entella Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Pisa 1-4 Virtus Entella.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Pisa, 27% draw, 22% Virtus Entella — fair odds of 1.96, 3.70 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Pisa at 51% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Pisa vs Virtus Entella
Line-ups
- 98A. ConfenteG
- 33A. CalabresiD
- 5S. CanestrelliD
- 26F. CoppolaD
- 3S. AngoriD
- 21İ. VuralM
- 55G. LeoneM
- 29O. CorreiaM
- 7M. LérisF
- 37A. PetagnaF
- 10M. TramoniF
- 17E. RaoF
- 1S. ScuffetG
- 22L. LoriaG
- 44D. DenoonD
- 4A. CaraccioloD
- 11I. FerrahM
- 36G. PiccininiM
- 14F. LoyolaD
- 72S. ZanonM
- 22F. Del FrateG
- 23L. ParodiD
- 27M. AlborghettiD
- 15I. MarconiD
- 8L. VignaliM
- 24A. FranzoniM
- 5N. SquizzatoM
- 80L. BenedettiM
- 26Stefano Di MarioM
- 10L. CupponeF
- 11Bernat GuiuF
- 6A. TiritielloD
- 16R. TuricchiaM
- 32F. ForteF
- 9Giacomo CoronaF
- 91S. ColombiG
- 18T. AnnoniM
- 55Lucas FelippeM
- 70Marwane KrittaD
- 3N. PrevitaliD
Form going into Pisa vs Virtus Entella
Pisa
All competitions we cover
- W3-0away to Juve Stabia6 September 2026
- W2-1Catanzaro30 August 2026
- L0-1Padova23 August 2026
Virtus Entella
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Vicenza Virtus6 September 2026
- L1-2Cesena29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Sudtirol22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pisa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 15 |
| 12 | Virtus Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Pisa vs Virtus Entella
- 30 July 2022Pisa 2–0 Virtus EntellaFriendlies Clubs
- 10 May 2021Pisa 3–2 Virtus EntellaSerie B
- 22 January 2021Virtus Entella 2–1 PisaSerie B
- 27 October 2020Virtus Entella 3–1 PisaCoppa Italia
- 13 July 2020Virtus Entella 1–1 PisaSerie B
- 8 December 2019Pisa 0–2 Virtus EntellaSerie B
Leading scorers: Pisa and Virtus Entella
Pisa
GoalsAssists
- F. Pittarello41
- T. Marras31
Virtus Entella
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Virtus Entella won 4–1 at Pisa. The model had leaned towards a win for Pisa at 51% and given a win for Virtus Entella 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: Bernat Guiu 2' for Virtus Entella, Luigi Cuppone 32' for Virtus Entella, Andrea Franzoni 45+2' for Virtus Entella, Omar Correia 73' for Pisa, M Tirelli 80' for Virtus Entella. Sent off: Mehdi Léris (Pisa) 35'.