Pisa vs Virtus Entella Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Pisa 1-4 Virtus Entella.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Pisa, 27% draw, 22% Virtus Entella — fair odds of 1.96, 3.70 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Pisa at 51% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Pisa vs Virtus Entella
Line-ups
- 98A. ConfenteG
- 33A. CalabresiD
- 5S. CanestrelliD
- 26F. CoppolaD
- 3S. AngoriD
- 21İ. VuralM
- 55G. LeoneM
- 29O. CorreiaM
- 7M. LérisF
- 37A. PetagnaF
- 10M. TramoniF
- 17E. RaoF
- 1S. ScuffetG
- 22L. LoriaG
- 44D. DenoonD
- 4A. CaraccioloD
- 11I. FerrahM
- 36G. PiccininiM
- 14F. LoyolaD
- 72S. ZanonM
- 22F. Del FrateG
- 23L. ParodiD
- 27M. AlborghettiD
- 15I. MarconiD
- 8L. VignaliM
- 24A. FranzoniM
- 5N. SquizzatoM
- 80L. BenedettiM
- 26Stefano Di MarioM
- 10L. CupponeF
- 11Bernat GuiuF
- 6A. TiritielloD
- 16R. TuricchiaM
- 32F. ForteF
- 9Giacomo CoronaF
- 91S. ColombiG
- 18T. AnnoniM
- 55Lucas FelippeM
- 70Marwane KrittaD
- 3N. PrevitaliD
Form going into Pisa vs Virtus Entella
Pisa
- W3-0away to Juve Stabia6 September 2026
- W2-1Catanzaro30 August 2026
- L0-1Padova23 August 2026
Virtus Entella
- D2-2Vicenza Virtus6 September 2026
- L1-2Cesena29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Sudtirol22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pisa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Pisa vs Virtus Entella
- 30 July 2022Pisa 2–0 Virtus EntellaFriendlies Clubs
- 10 May 2021Pisa 3–2 Virtus EntellaSerie B
- 22 January 2021Virtus Entella 2–1 PisaSerie B
- 27 October 2020Virtus Entella 3–1 PisaCoppa Italia
- 13 July 2020Virtus Entella 1–1 PisaSerie B
- 8 December 2019Pisa 0–2 Virtus EntellaSerie B
Leading scorers: Pisa and Virtus Entella
Pisa
- M. Tramoni1 goals2 assists
Virtus Entella
- Bernat Guiu1 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.