6 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Vienna UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Teddy Stadium, Ploiesti
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Beitar Jerusalem 1-2 Austria Vienna.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Beitar Jerusalem, 29% draw, 27% Austria Vienna — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Austria Vienna v Beitar Jerusalem, 13 Aug →

Austria Vienna went through on penalties, after 3–3 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Beitar Jerusalem at 44%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Beitar Jerusalem0%Draw4%Austria Vienna96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽N. Muche
19'
27'
Philipp Maybach
Brayan Carabalí
45+3'
45'
⚽V. Markovic
46'
🔁P. Maybachout: F. Wustinger
46'
🔁I. Buhariout: R. Ranftl
🔁G. Cohenout: L. Gadrani
57'
🔁S. Weissmanout: T. Muzie
57'
62'
🔁J. Handlout: A. Dragovic
63'
🔁K. Boatengout: M. Wels
63'
🔁J. Hettwerout: S. Saljic
🔁Y. Shuaout: E. Ansah
65'
🔁O. Atziliout: J. Kalu
65'
69'
⚽S. Saljicassist: D. Nnodim
Boris Enow
75'
Luka Gadrani
79'
🔁D. Workoout: T. Yosefi
82'
83'
Reinhold Ranftl
86'
Matteo Schablas
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu
90+2'

Match stats — Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Vienna

69%Possession31%
14Shots9
5On target5
6Corners1

Line-ups

Beitar Jerusalem 4-3-3
  • 55Miguel SilvaG
  • 2N. AntwiD
  • 4B. CarabaliD
  • 5G. CohenD
  • 16Y. CohenD
  • 15N. MucheM
  • 40Boris EnowM
  • 26D. WorkoM
  • 77O. AtziliF
  • 19S. WeissmanF
  • 7Y. ShuaF
Substitutes
  • 33D. NirG
  • 22Y. OzerG
  • 13E. AnsahF
  • 44L. GadraniD
  • 14R. ElimelechD
  • 30T. YosefiM
  • 9J. KaluF
  • 24N. MarkovitchM
  • 25L. DeriD
Coach: Almog Cohen
Austria Vienna 3-4-2-1
  • 1S. Sahin-RadlingerG
  • 3I. BuhariD
  • 46J. HandlD
  • 4J. FeddersenD
  • 40D. NnodimM
  • 7V. MarkovicM
  • 6P. MaybachM
  • 21M. SchablasM
  • 30M. FischerF
  • 20J. HettwerF
  • 14K. BoatengF
Substitutes
  • 99M. KosG
  • 15A. DragovicD
  • 22F. WustingerM
  • 37M. WelsM
  • 10S. SaljicM
  • 44V. ToiflD
  • 26R. RanftlM
  • 17Lee Tae-SeokD
  • 16Lee Kang-HeeM
Coach: Stephan Helm

Form going into Beitar Jerusalem vs Austria Vienna

Beitar Jerusalem

All competitions we cover

  • L2-3AEK Larnaca30 July 2026
  • W1-0away to AEK Larnaca23 July 2026

Austria Vienna

All competitions we cover

  • L0-3away to Wolfsberger AC2 August 2026
  • W3-1FK Liepaja30 July 2026
  • W2-0away to FK Liepaja23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Beitar Jerusalem and Austria Vienna in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
4Beitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al105321411+318
11Austria ViennaBundesliga122281123-128

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Ligat Ha'al · Austria Bundesliga

Leading scorers: Beitar Jerusalem and Austria Vienna

Beitar Jerusalem

GoalsAssists

  • O. Atzili33
  • E. Ansah31

Austria Vienna

No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Austria Vienna won 2–1 at Beitar Jerusalem. The model had leaned towards a win for Beitar Jerusalem at 44% and given a win for Austria Vienna 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: N. Muche 19' for Beitar Jerusalem, V. Markovic 45' for Austria Vienna, S. Saljic 69' for Austria Vienna.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.