Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Panathinaikos 3-0 Panetolikos.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Panathinaikos, 27% draw, 29% Panetolikos — fair odds of 2.27, 3.70 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Greek Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Panathinaikos at 44% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos
Line-ups
- 1Iñaki PeñaG
- 2D. CalabriaD
- 6S. de VrijD
- 55R. van DrongelenD
- 77G. KiriakopoulosD
- 26I. LouzaM
- 22E. CamaraM
- 20V. TabordaM
- 21A. OunahiM
- 10Santino AndinoM
- 9C. DessersF
- 3Georgios Marios KatrisD
- 18S. KontourisM
- 70K. KotsarisG
- 14E. Palmer-BrownD
- 28F. PellistriM
- 74E. RastoderF
- 7A. TettehF
- 19T. TsaprasM
- 42K. KangwaM
- 99Y. KucherenkoG
- 35C. MavriasD
- 2G. GranathD
- 49N. StajićD
- 65A. ApostolopoulosD
- 18G. SatsiasM
- 14K. AleksićM
- 44N. ErakovićM
- 10A. BassiM
- 12M. DjenepoM
- 9José Mateo Mejía PiedrahitaF
- 28L. KojićM
- 22Diego EstebanM
- 19A. BregouM
- 20Youssouph BadjiF
- 6M. NakambaM
- 77E. NikolaouM
- 4E. OlssonD
- 90K. OpokuF
- 1Michalis PardalosG
Form going into Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos
Panathinaikos
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Kifisia10 September 2026
- W3-1PAOK6 September 2026
- W2-0away to Levadiakos31 August 2026
- W2-1away to Hradec Králové27 August 2026
- D2-2Hradec Králové20 August 2026
Panetolikos
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to Levadiakos6 September 2026
- W2-0Kalamata29 August 2026
- W3-1Asteras Tripolis23 August 2026
What these results say
- Panathinaikos went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Panathinaikos scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Panathinaikos won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | +14 | 21 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos
- 15 March 2026Panathinaikos 0–0 PanetolikosSuper League 1
- 28 September 2025Panetolikos 1–2 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
- 1 March 2025Panathinaikos 2–0 PanetolikosSuper League 1
- 24 November 2024Panetolikos 1–2 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
- 7 January 2024Panathinaikos 2–1 PanetolikosSuper League 1
Leading scorers: Panathinaikos and Panetolikos
Panathinaikos
GoalsAssists
- A. Tetteh41
- V. Taborda31
- C. Dessers30
Panetolikos
No player in Super League 1's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Panathinaikos beat Panetolikos 3–0. The model had made a win for Panathinaikos its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Vicente Taborda 14' for Panathinaikos, Azzedine Ounahi 39' for Panathinaikos, Davide Calabria 90+2' for Panathinaikos.
How the call on Panathinaikos v Panetolikos has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 41% / 29% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 44% / 27% / 29%: the biggest move is Panathinaikos's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Panathinaikos win44%▲ +3
- Draw27%▼ −2
- Panetolikos win29%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.