Regular Season - 4 · 13 September 2026, 18:00 UTC

Kifisia vs Levadiakos Super League 1 prediction & result

Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium, Athens
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Kifisia 0-0 Levadiakos.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Kifisia, 31% draw, 30% Levadiakos — fair odds of 2.56, 3.23 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Expected goals: Kifisia 1.32, Levadiakos 1.04.

Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 42%, under 2.5: 58%.

Model confidence: Low.

Published · updated

Model insights: Kifisia vs Levadiakos

48%
Both teams to score
42%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 14%1-0 12%0-0 10%

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Kifisia at 39% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1728 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kifisia4%Draw92%Levadiakos4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Konstantinos Apostolakis
13'
33'
Mahamadou Balde
45+2'
Giannis Tsivelekidis
🔁Konstantinos Apostolakisout: Tiago Manso
45'
🔁Jorge Pomboout: dimitrios theodoridis
45'
52'
🔁Adrian Sutout: Dimitrios Emmanouilidis
52'
🔁Agustin Urziout: Panagiotis Symelidis
🔁Jeremy Antonisseout: Jordi Mboula
61'
Seedy Jagne
62'
69'
🔁Mahamadou Baldeout: Juan Bauza
70'
🔁Giannis Kostiout: Konstantinos Goumas
Tiago Manso
72'
78'
🔁Moses David Cobnanout: Ognjen Ožegović
79'
Marios Vichos
🔁Ángelo Sagalout: Gerson Liliano Saches Sousa
84'
90+3'
Niv Eliasi

Match stats — Kifisia vs Levadiakos

63%Possession37%
10Shots5
4On target1
9Corners4

Line-ups

Kifisia 4-4-1-1
  • 99M. RamírezG
  • 2K. ApostolakisD
  • 33Hugo SousaD
  • 5A. PetkovD
  • 23L. AbandaD
  • 8Bernardo MartinsM
  • 19I. JagneM
  • 17K. RoukounakisM
  • 7J. AntonisseM
  • 6Jorge PomboM
  • 28Á. SagalF
Substitutes
  • 21Nektarios KaloskamisD
  • 9Dimitris TheodoridisF
  • 44Vangelis ManganasM
  • 11Jordi MboulaF
  • 20M. PatirasM
  • 26K. PolykratisD
  • 1F. RobertsG
  • 10Gerson SousaF
  • 48Tiago MansoD
Coach: S. Leto
Levadiakos 4-2-3-1
  • 55N. EliasiG
  • 2A. PanteaD
  • 23G. KornezosD
  • 37I. TsivelekidisD
  • 3M. VichosD
  • 8G. NikasM
  • 15A. ȘutM
  • 11A. UrziM
  • 18I. KostiM
  • 21M. BaldeM
  • 99M. CobnanF
Substitutes
  • 7Juan Francisco BauzaM
  • 17D. EmmanouilidisF
  • 20K. GoumasM
  • 14G. ManthatisM
  • 66M. NdiayeM
  • 33Lucas AnackerG
  • 9O. OžegovićF
  • 74C. PapadopoulosM
  • 27G. RodríguezF
Coach: I. Charalambous

Form going into Kifisia vs Levadiakos

Kifisia

  • L1-3away to Panathinaikos10 September 2026
  • L0-2away to OFI6 September 2026
  • D1-1AEK Athens FC30 August 2026

Levadiakos

  • L0-2Panetolikos6 September 2026
  • L0-2Panathinaikos31 August 2026
  • L0-4away to PAOK23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Kifisia402226-42
14Levadiakos401308-81

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Kifisia vs Levadiakos

  • 28 February 2026Kifisia 1–0 LevadiakosSuper League 1
  • 14 January 2026Levadiakos 2–0 KifisiaCup
  • 25 August 2025Levadiakos 3–2 KifisiaSuper League 1
  • 6 April 2022Kifisia 1–4 LevadiakosSuper League 2
  • 9 February 2022Levadiakos 1–1 KifisiaSuper League 2

Written before kick-off and left as it stood — the reading below is the model's pre-match case, not a view formed after the result.

Two sides the ratings cannot separate

Kifisia carry a model rating of 6.5 against 6.54 for Levadiakos. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.

A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.

What the model expects

Under the hood the model expects 1.32 goals for Kifisia and 1.04 for Levadiakos. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.

Kifisia rate 0.65 in attack and 1.31 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Levadiakos rate 0.66 and 1.25.

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 1151 correct results out of 2437 settled predictions (47%), with 230 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Kifisia the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.32 expected goals for Kifisia against 1.04 for Levadiakos. Kifisia's attack/defence rating is 0.65/1.31 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.66/1.25 for Levadiakos.